Yankees vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Yankees at Mets

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Yankees

46-31

3 - 6

New York Mets

34-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brazoban			1.91	4-1
C.Rodon			3.70	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 46-31	-1.5	-1.5+134	o8.5-106	-125
Mets 34-43	u8.5	+1.5-160	u8.5-111	+105

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +110 (Live)

1.1u

Pre Game Line Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Rodon has only 4.1 innings this season with 5 walks, a 1.62 WHIP, and a 6.23 ERA. The Mets have 24 runs across their last 4 home games, while the Yankees are 2-5 over their last 7 road games. Peterson's ERA is ugly, but 39.1 innings and 38 strikeouts give the home dog enough starter volume at +110.

NYM +108

1.62u

A.Slater u0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+120

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.97 hits runs and rbis for Austin Slater compared to 1.20 hits runs and rbis implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 56% of the time, resulting in a 23% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $23.02. This play is good down to at least -103. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYY -130

1.3u

C.Rodon u16.5 Outs-130

0.5u

J.Chisholm o0.5 HR+950

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.15 home runs for Jazz Chisholm. Oddsmakers are implying 0.10 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 13% of the time resulting in a 39% ROI with expected value of $38.71 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +733. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYM +117

3.51u

NYM o3.5-115

NYY -128

0.64u

Bet to -140

The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday
Matt Trollo•
May 16, 2026 UTC
Yankees vs Mets: Expect Rodon's Struggles to Continue
Doug Ziefel•
May 16, 2026 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 17-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Mets' 37 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	31-47	14-23	17-24	21-31	10-16
Yankees	37-41	17-20	20-21	34-37	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	35-38-5	20-13-4	15-25-1	25-24-3	10-14-2
Yankees	35-39-4	19-16-2	16-23-2	30-37-4	5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	34-44	18-19	16-25	26-26	8-18
Yankees	47-31	22-15	25-16	43-28	4-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +123
May 14th	DET	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -162
May 13th	DET	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +102
May 12th	DET	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -145
May 10th	@ARI	L 1-5	-	U 8.5	ARI -105

Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	88	3.2	6	2
RJ.Bird, P	15	0.2	1	1
LB.Headrick, P	26	1.2	3	1
LT.Hill, P	12	0.1	0	1
RC.Doval, P	8	0.2	0	0
RP.Blackburn, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Rice, DH	0-4	1	0
2A.Judge, RF	2-4	1	0
3C.Bellinger, LF	0-5	0	0
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	1
5J.Chisholm, 2B	2-5	1	0
6A.Rosario, 3B	1-4	0	0
7T.Grisham, CF	1-4	0	1
8A.Volpe, SS	0-2	0	0
9A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brazoban, P	24	1.1	2	0
LD.Peterson, P	82	4	8	2
LB.Raley, P	18	0.2	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	19	2	2	0
RD.Williams, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Benge, RF	3-4	2	0
2B.Bichette, SS	0-3	2	0
3J.Soto, LF	2-2	1	0
4M.Vientos, 1B	1-4	0	3
5M.Semien, 2B	0-4	0	0
6A.Ewing, CF	1-4	0	0
7A.Slater, DH	0-2	1	0
7M.Melendez, PH	0-0	0	0
7M.Melendez, DH	0-0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	1
9L.Torrens, C	0-4	0	0