Yankees vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2026

Yankees at Mets

5:40 pm • YES

New York Yankees

28-18

5 - 3

New York Mets

19-26

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 28-18	-1.5	-1.5+159	o9-105	+107
Mets 19-26	u7.5	+1.5-194	u9-115	-128

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 17, 2026

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Over 8.5-105

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Elmer Rodriguez is the pressure point with a 5.19 ERA, 2.08 WHIP and 8 walks in 8.2 innings. The Mets just scored 30 runs over their last 5 games, and Citi Field has 83 degrees with 9 mph wind out. Peralta is stronger, but 19 walks and 5 HR in 49.1 innings leave enough Yankees paths for 8.5.

NYM -105

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy The Yankees have scored 23 runs across their last 10 games while the Mets have scored 47. Freddy Peralta sits at 3.10 ERA with 50 strikeouts. Elmer Rodriguez is at 5.19 ERA with 5 strikeouts. The Mets already answered this series with a 6-3 win yesterday. Same park, better starter, short moneyline.

B.Rice o0.5 HR+400

0.5u

T.Grisham o0.5 HR+475

0.5u

NYM -125

C.Bellinger o0.5 HR+610

0.25u

There is a value opportunity on Cody Bellinger's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.20 home runs for him with a 18% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +610 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +516. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

R.McMahon o0.5 HR+700

0.25u

There is a value opportunity on Ryan McMahon's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.18 home runs for him with a 16% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +700 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +601. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

B.Rice o0.5 HR+400

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.30 home runs for Ben Rice. Oddsmakers are implying 0.23 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 25% of the time resulting in a 26% ROI with expected value of $25.75 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +337. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

T.Grisham o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

There is a value opportunity on Trent Grisham's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.29 home runs for him with a 25% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +475 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +346. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

A.Volpe o0.5 HR+1000

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.13 home runs for Anthony Volpe. Oddsmakers are implying 0.10 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 12% of the time resulting in a 31% ROI with expected value of $30.57 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +827. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

J.Chisholm o0.5 HR+575

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.24 home runs for Jazz Chisholm. Oddsmakers are implying 0.17 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 21% of the time resulting in a 40% ROI with expected value of $39.59 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +432. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYM -110

1.1u

Over 8-113

0.57u

Bet to 8.5 (-110)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-137

$1.00

#ACTION ✍️✍️ #Leadoff

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 10-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mets' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	18-27	8-15	10-12	12-20	6-7
Yankees	25-21	12-8	13-13	23-20	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	17-25-3	11-9-3	6-16	13-17-2	4-8-1
Yankees	19-24-3	12-7-1	7-17-2	18-22-3	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	19-26	10-13	9-13	14-18	5-8
Yankees	28-18	14-6	14-12	26-17	2-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 16th	NYY	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 15th	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +123
May 14th	DET	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -162
May 13th	DET	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -120
May 12th	DET	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -145

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Rodriguez, P	64	4.1	1	1
LR.Yarbrough, P	21	1	0	2
RJ.Bird, P	18	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Rice, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
3A.Judge, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, LF	1-1	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, RF	1-1	1	0	0
5J.Chisholm, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
6R.McMahon, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Jones, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7P.Goldschmidt, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Schuemann, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7M.Schuemann, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Volpe, SS	2-3	1	0	2
9J.Escarra, C	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Rosario, PH	0-0	0	0	1
9A.Wells, C	-

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P		96	5	4	3
LS.Manaea, P		23	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Benge, RF	0-3	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
3J.Soto, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Vientos, 1B	2-3	1	0
5M.Melendez, LF	0-2	0	0
5T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0
5T.Taylor, LF	0-1	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	1-3	0	0
7M.Semien, 2B	2-3	1	1
8A.Ewing, CF	1-1	1	0
9H.Senger, C	0-2	0	0
9L.Torrens, PH	1-1	0	2
9L.Torrens, C	1-1	0	2