Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - December 23, 2023

Hawks at Heat

1:00 am • BSSUN

Atlanta Hawks

27-31

113

113 - 122

Miami Heat

26-30

122

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Hawks 27-31	+2.5	+1-112	o238.5-111	-106
Heat 26-30	u238.5	-1-107	u238.5-110	-112

Saturday 1:00 a.m.

December 23, 2023

Kaseya CenterMiami

T.Young o38.5 Pts+Ast-115

0.87u

MIA -116

0.86u

Hawks not covering two sharp spots

MIA -115

$186.96

NBA system 10-4 run (aware of injury’s)

T.Young o38.5 Pts+Ast-110

Over 238.5-105

T.Herro o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135

MIA -115

0.87u

Miami holds huge defensive edge.

T.Herro o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135

1.35u

• 11 Rebounds + Assist in first game w/o Jimmy Butler vs. Orlando • Butler is aggressive on the boards for a guard, and Hawks can blitz him when passing halfcourt forcing to pass • Lead MIA in minutes and potential assists (11) , higher upside if Lowry doesn’t close again. Adebayo has the best matchup down low • 5+ REB in four of the five games vs. ATL. High O/U, fast paced game for more opportunity • ATL allow the sixth most RAs against opposing teams

MIA -118

ATL +1.5-110

Featured Insight
The Hawks has a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season -- T-4th-best in the NBA; the Heat have allowed a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Heat have shot 42% from three (99/235) in the last two weeks -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three in the last two weeks -- 4th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Heat are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 12-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Heat' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	22-33-1	10-13	12-20-1	13-18	9-15-1
Hawks	28-30	12-15	16-15	6-15	22-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	30-26	15-8	15-18	17-14	13-12
Hawks	33-25	17-10	16-15	14-7	19-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	26-30	N/A	N/A	18-13	8-17
Hawks	27-31	N/A	N/A	11-10	16-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 21st	@ORL	W 115-106	+5.5 W	O 219.5	MIA +170
Dec 19th	MIN	L 108-112	+1.5 L	O 217.5	MIN +108
Dec 17th	CHI	W 118-116	-5.5 L	O 219.5	MIA -192
Dec 15th	CHI	L 116-124	-3.5 L	O 213.5	CHI -157
Dec 14th	CHA	W 115-104	-8 W	U 222.5	MIA -330