Hawks vs. Hornets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 30, 2024

Jalen has covered in 13/18 w/ Trae - AVG 15.2 RA and 26.0 pRA. ATL played CHA in their second game of the season and Jalen ended with 10 RA but hit his AVG of 26.0 pRA, so I'm expecting some positive regression here. For one, he won't have to guard Miles Bridges who was 2nd in USG/FGA for CHA, so he'll get to be a weak-side rebounder on a lower USG CHA player. He only recorded 3 AST on 10 pAST in that game and he AVG a 51.4% conversion on his pAST, so we should see positive regression there too. Oddly enough, Jalen has covered in 6/6 when ATL injury report is clean and everyone is active - AVG 27.0 pRA in those six games. ATL rank T5 in the league in paint scoring and as a result, 44% of Jalen's AST alone come at the rim and 50% in the paint. CHA rank league AVG in AST% at the rim, but allow the 3rd highest FREQ% at the rim. Jalen's covered this line in 5/7 vs. T10 teams in FREQ% at the rim - seeing 26+ pRA in 5/7. ATL rank T3 in pace and CHA are a young team who should match ATL pace. Melo getting ruled out will also really hurt CHA overall ORTG and shot quality, creating more REB chances.

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Charlotte's offense struggles, averaging 107.7 points with poor efficiency, heavily reliant on LaMelo Ball, whose status is uncertain. Atlanta's defense has excelled against weak offenses, slowing pace and limiting transitions. Both teams show average rebounding, reducing second-chance points. Atlanta’s pace dips on the road, aligning with Charlotte's slower tempo, favoring the Under.