Heat vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - December 4, 2025

Heat at Mavericks

1:30 am • NBA TV
108 - 118

Heat at Mavericks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
15-15
-2.5
-4.5-112
o238.5-108
-190
Mavericks
12-19
u234.5
+4.5-108
u238.5-112
+154
location pinThursday 1:30 a.m.
December 04, 2025
American Airlines CenterDallas
Heat vs. Mavericks Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 168-132-2 (+4.0u)
T.Herro u4.5 Ast-150
0.5u
No Norman Powell but projecting this closer to 3.5. Realize these odds aren’t great so feel free to sit this one out if you want, but RotoGrinders CourtIQ shows Herro has seen an assist rate decline with Powell off the court too.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 48-44-4 (+3.1u)
A.Wiggins o4.5 Rebs-141
0.71u
A.Wiggins o5.5 Rebs+146
0.22u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 69-70-0 (+6.3u)
MIA -5.5-110
0.27u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 48-44-4 (+3.1u)
D.Mitchell To Record 10+ Assists Yes+389
0.15u
D.Mitchell o6.5 Ast-140
0.71u
🎙️ discussed in @CashThatPodcast The Miami Heat face off against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night, and this is a rematch from about a week ago. Tyler Herro just returned from Miami Heat and it is definitely impacted the flow of the offense to a degree. One of the players that contributes the most to how Miami’s offense runs is Davion Mitchell. Mitchell is the clear lead distributor on the team and can set the tone for the offense. When these two teams played, it was Tyler Herro’s first game back and I think it took a little bit of time for Miami to figure out how to make that work. And in that game, Mitchell only had 4 assists on 10 potentials. In the game since he’s recorded 9, 10, and 12 dimes. He actually has seen a spike when playing alongside of both Powell and Herro which I’d expect tonight. That was the Dallas Mavericks have inserted Ryan Nembhard into their starting lineup as well. I think that this is just a little bit faster of a game and it’s a better positional matchup for Mitchell as well. Couple that with the fact that he’s now seen this defense just a week ago, and I would expect improvement on his end. I’ll sprinkle 10+ as well. Best Line: -138 MGM/-140 FD
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 101-72-0 (+22.6u)
M.Christie o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+122
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 115-94-3 (+11.5u)
K.Thompson o10.5 Pts-120
0.83u
Buckets Podcast
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 80-82-3 (-2.1u)
D.Mitchell o6.5 Ast-110
0.91u
@JoeDellera ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/4Vvf2TvANYb
MIA -117
0.5u
@FiddlesPicks ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/4Vvf2TvANYb
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 69-70-0 (+6.3u)
Under 240-105
0.1u

Heat vs. Mavericks Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Heat vs. Mavericks Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Heat

Public

60%

Bets%

40%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mavericks
16-1510-86-72-714-8
Heat
16-13-18-78-6-17-89-5-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mavericks
14-178-106-72-712-10
Heat
14-166-98-75-109-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mavericks
12-19N/AN/A4-58-14
Heat
15-15N/AN/A9-66-9

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 2nd@DENW 131-121+11.5 WO 235.5DAL +405
Nov 30th@LACW 114-110+9.5 WU 224.5DAL +305
Nov 29th@LALL 119-129+10.5 WO 232.5LAL +350
Nov 25th@MIAL 102-106+7.5 WU 240.5MIA +220
Nov 23rdMEML 96-102-U 229.5MEM -106

Heat vs. Mavericks Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Rozier is out with gambling

    Out

  • Norman Powell
    SG

    Norman Powell (calf) probable Thursday.

    Probable

  • Andrew Wiggins
    SF

    Wiggins is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Tyler Herro
    SG

    Tyler Herro (toe) out Monday.

    Out

  • Davion Mitchell
    PG

    Mitchell is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Nikola Jovic
    PF

    Jovic is out with elbow

    Out

  • Pelle Larsson
    SG

    Larsson is out with ankle

    Out

Mavericks Injuries

  • Kyrie Irving
    SG

    Irving is out with knee

    Out

  • Dante Exum
    PG

    Exum is out with knee

    Out

  • Dwight Powell
    C

    Dwight Powell (illness) doubtful Tuesday.

    Out

  • Klay Thompson
    SF

    Klay Thompson (knee) doubtful Tuesday.

    Doubtful

  • P.J. Washington
    PF

    PJ Washington (foot) out Tuesday.

    Out

  • Max Christie
    SG

    Max Christie (illness) doubtful Tuesday.

    Doubtful

  • Dereck Lively
    C

    Lively is out with foot

    Out

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Cooper Flagg logo
    Cooper Flagg
    22
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Anthony Davis logo
    Anthony Davis
    17
    rpg
  • assists
    Ryan Nembhard logo
    Ryan Nembhard
    13
    apg
  • shooting
    Cooper Flagg logo
    Cooper Flagg
    69.2
    fg%
Team Stats
40-101 (40%)
Field Goals
46-91 (51%)
17-18 (94%)
Free Throws
10-12 (83%)
11-37 (30%)
3P
16-32 (50%)
41
Rebounds
50
29
Assists
31
Turnovers
11
Steals
6
5
Blocks
7
13
Fouls
15

Heat vs. Mavericks Odds Comparison

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Heat at Mavericks Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
15-15
o121.5-105
u121.5-115
Mavericks
12-19
o117.5-102
u117.5-118