Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2024

Bam has a DD in 4/6 games this season when playing 28+ MIN - AVG 15.8/9.7. This is a sneaky good MU for Bam even if it is against Jokic. DEN is allowing the 4th most RPG to C and 7th most PPG. Bam has recorded a DD in 66.7% of games this season and only faced one other team who's T10 in C RPG (PHX) and grabbed 12 REB on 24 chances. Bam had a DD in 1/2 games vs. DEN last season but saw 16 and 18 REB chances, which is right around his AVG. This year he's AVG 16.7 REB chances w/ one outlier game where he saw 7 and was in early foul trouble. Exclude that game and he's AVG 18.6 REB chances. He's grabbed 10+ REB in 21/28 games w/ Jimmy when seeing 16+ REB chances (75.0%). Another big thing here is MIA switches everything so Bam often times finds himself on guards and away from the basket. LS DEN had the lowest PnR FREQ% and continue to have the lowest this season - Bam AVG 17.4 REB chances in games w/ Jimmy against bottom-10 teams in PnR actions and grabbed 10+ REB in 10/17 games. Every starting center has also recorded a DD vs. DEN: - Chet: 15/10 (23 RC - AVG 18.0) - Poeltl: 24/11 (18 RC - AVG 19.0) - Kessler: 18/14 (25 RC - AVG 21.6) - Gobert: 17/14 (23 RC - AVG 17.4) - Claxton: 16/12 (20 RC - AVG 13.3) - Poeltl: 16/19 (27 RC - AVG 19.0) - Zubac: 24/15 (29 RC - AVG 19.5) - Chet: 25/14 (19 RC - AVG 18.0) Every C above either hit or exceeded their AVG RC line except one game where Poeltl was below by 1 RC. If Bam goes under his 17 REB chance AVG by one, he'll see 16, which I think is his floor and he's still covered at a 75% rate with that number.

⭐️ Play of the Day ⭐️ -4+ Assists in 4/L4 Games -4+ Assists in 7/L7 Games vs DEN with 20+ Minutes -DEN allowing the 2nd most assists to opposing PGs -Most of Rozier’s Assists (58%) go to Herro and Bam, both of which have great matchups