Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Odds & Betting Predictions - February 28, 2024

Mavericks at Cavaliers

12:00 am • BSOH

Dallas Mavericks

39-43

119

119 - 121

Cleveland Cavaliers

1-0

121

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 39-43	+4	+4-110	o231-112	+143
Cavaliers 1-0	u232.5	-4-110	u231-107	-171

Wednesday 12:00 a.m.

February 28, 2024

Rocket ArenaCleveland

DAL +4-110

1.14u

... off a blowout vs good teams Overall: 172-103-0,63% (ROI:21%) Season:24-16-0,60% (ROI:15%)

DAL +148

... off blowout vs good team Overall: 115-190-0,38% (ROI:36%) Season:16-21-0,43% (ROI:29%)

D.Gafford o4.5 Rebs-137

1.37u

DAL +4.5-105

0.95u

M.Strus o6.5 Rebs+Ast-140

0.71u

E.Mobley o14.5 Pts-110

1.1u

E.Mobley o25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

L.Doncic u50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

Averaging 49.2 PRA with Kyrie this season, and facing the elite PnR defense of the Cavs (2nd fewest PPP, and third fewest ppg). Luka is under in 6/7 games vs the top 8 teams in PnR defense with Kyrie this season.

E.Mobley o22.5 Pts+Rebs-110

This line is a bit low for Mobley who has been a force for the Cavaliers. While he has been ramping up his minutes after returning from injury, he has had a fairly consistent floor of 25 minutes per game with a few games of 30+. Mobley gets a matchup against the Mavericks tonight and he has yet to face off against their new front court. The Mavericks have the third worst Rebounding% and play at the ninth-fastest Pace in the league. He should have plenty of chances to rack up boards and score tonight. Mobley’s PR line is set at 22.5 for tonight/ game. When he has played 25+ minutes, he has exceeded this line in 77% of games this season while averaging 26 PR. I like Mobley to continue his strong play and go over his 22.5 PR line.

Under 232.5-110

0.75u

E.Mobley o24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130

J.Allen o10.5 Rebs-125

1.25u

E.Mobley o25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 48% (257/535) in close and late situations this season -- 9th-best in the NBA; the Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 48% in close and late situations this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Cavaliers are 27-7 (.794) when winning the rebounding margin this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have averaged 50.4 rebounds/game this season -- 6th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Cavaliers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cavaliers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cavaliers are 26-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cavaliers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Cavaliers' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cavaliers	48-33-1	22-18-1	26-15	42-31-1	6-2
Mavericks	38-42-2	20-20	18-22-2	16-17-1	22-25-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cavaliers	50-31-1	25-16	25-15-1	46-27-1	4-4
Mavericks	45-37	18-22	27-15	16-18	29-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cavaliers	64-18	N/A	N/A	60-14	4-4
Mavericks	39-43	N/A	N/A	22-12	17-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 25th	@WAS	W 114-105	-13.5 L	U 235	CLE -974
Feb 24th	@PHI	L 97-104	-2 L	U 225.5	PHI -129
Feb 23rd	ORL	L 109-116	-5 L	O 214.5	ORL -215
Feb 15th	CHI	W 108-105	-9.5 L	U 223	CLE -430
Feb 13th	PHI	L 121-123	-11.5 L	O 231	PHI -625