Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2023

Nuggets at Grizzlies

1:00 am • BSSE

Denver Nuggets

37-20

94 - 112

Memphis Grizzlies

37-20

112

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 37-20	+3-112	o235.5-110	+125
Grizzlies 37-20	-3-108	u235.5-110	-145

Sunday 1:00 a.m.

February 26, 2023

FedExForumMemphis

DEN +3-110

1.1u

MEM -3-110

$100.00

MEM -140

N.Jokic u24.5 Pts-114

Under in 9/15 matchups vs the top 10 teams vs centers (MEM is 5th and has stayed consistent without Adams). MEM also likely crowds Jokic in the paint - I see this as more of an assist game for him. In these matchups, he has 12+ assists in 7/12 games.

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

Best Bets for my full analysis: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-expert-picks-predictions-best-bets-for-heat-vs-hornets-nuggets-vs-grizzlies-feb-25

MEM -135

1.48u

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

Bet at FanDuel. Tailing @JoeDellera

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.25u

M.Porter o4.5 3pt M+380

0.15u

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+160

0.5u

FD alt. I don’t want to lay the juice on his base line of 2.5. He’s over this in 6/11 (55%) without Gordon averaging 3.4. Going to play 5+ too a number he’s hit in 5/11 without Gordon. Memphis allows the 5th highest frequency of 3s, and this has spiked without Adams.

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-140

0.71u

Under 235-110

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NBA Public Betting

Grizzlies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Grizzlies are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Grizzlies are 17-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Grizzlies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Grizzlies' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	34-20-3	17-9-1	17-11-2	24-12-2	10-8-1
Nuggets	29-27-1	16-12-1	13-15	22-21-1	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Grizzlies	35-22	13-14	22-8	20-18	15-4
Nuggets	34-22-1	19-10	15-12-1	25-18-1	9-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	37-20	N/A	N/A	30-8	7-12
Nuggets	37-20	N/A	N/A	31-13	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 24th	@PHI	L 105-110	+3 L	U 232	PHI +130
Feb 16th	UTA	W 117-111	-	-	-
Feb 12th	@BOS	L 109-119	+3.5 L	O 225.5	BOS +133
Feb 11th	MIN	W 128-107	-6.5 W	O 231	MEM -260
Feb 8th	CHI	W 104-89	-9.5 W	U 232	MEM -425