Rockets vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - March 10, 2024

Rockets at Kings

10:00 pm • NBCS-CA

Houston Rockets

11-5

112

112 - 104

Sacramento Kings

8-7

104

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockets 11-5	+6.5-110	o234-110	+220
Kings 8-7	-6.5-110	u234-110	-270

Sunday 10:00 p.m.

March 10, 2024

Golden 1 CenterSacramento

A.Sengun o4.5 Ast-152

SAC -6.5-115

$230.00

POD

HOU +7-110

0.91u

Rockets playing well, while Kings bad as home chalk going 3-9 ATS last dozen times in that role.

A.Sengun o5.5 Ast+210

0.25u

A.Sengun o7.5 Ast+700

0.1u

A.Sengun o4.5 Ast+102

1.5u

Sengun is rising and making a late push in the MIP conversation due to his recent play. He has been a monster since the All-Star Break as a scoring and rebounding threat but I’m targeting his assists in what should be a fun matchup between him and Domantas Sabonis on the interior. Sengun has exceeded 4.5 assists in six consecutive games with 6+ in all of them and double digit dimes in 3/6. He is averaging 8.8 assists per game of this stretch. On the season, Sengun is averaging 5 assists on 8.4 potentials. Over the last two seasons he is averaging 10.6 potentials per game against the Kings. While the conversion rate is noticeably higher, it’s the matchup that has been a major factor in why. I expect Sengun to exceed his base line of 4.5 assists and would play some alts as well with 6+ (+220 ESPN) and 8+ (+700 FD) clearly standing out.

A.Sengun u21.5 Pts-110

$50.00

A.Sengun o4.5 Ast+120

J.Green o18.5 Pts-120

0.83u

A.Sengun o4.5 Ast+120

0.5u

A.Sengun o4.5 Ast+120

Getting this one in early for tomorrow because I don’t expect this to be plus odds tomorrow. Sengun has 14 and 6 assists in his last two games, but it’s his history against the Kings that jumps out. Over the last six games against the Kings, Sengun is averaging 8.8 assists per game. Sengun assists vs. SAC: 10/7/7/11/6/12 I’m very tempted to run the triple double too but Sengun has only reached 10 rebounds in 1 of those games. He’s had 10/6/7/9/9/8 rebounds in his last 6 games against the Kings, so the assists have been far more reliable.

Featured Insight
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Kings has a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Kings has averaged 16.9 offensive rebounds per game this season -- T-10th-best in the NBA; the Rockets have allowed 17.3 offensive rebounds/game this season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Player Props for Sunday
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Mar 10, 2024 UTC
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Mar 10, 2024 UTC
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NBA Public Betting

Kings are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Kings are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Kings are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Kings' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Kings' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	6-8-1	2-5-1	4-3	5-5-1	1-3
Rockets	11-5	7-2	4-3	8-4	3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Kings	8-7	4-4	4-3	5-6	3-1
Rockets	7-8-1	5-3-1	2-5	6-5-1	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	8-7	N/A	N/A	7-4	1-3
Rockets	11-5	N/A	N/A	9-3	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 8th	SAS	W 131-129	-12.5 L	O 235	SAC -710
Mar 7th	@LAL	W 130-120	+3 W	O 240.5	SAC +132
Mar 5th	CHI	L 109-113	-6.5 L	U 230	CHI -244
Mar 2nd	@MIN	W 124-120	+8.5 W	O 222.5	SAC +277
Feb 29th	@DEN	L 96-117	+9.5 L	U 227	DEN +320

DeMar DeRozan
PF
DeMar DeRozan (back) out Saturday.
Out
Domantas Sabonis
C
Domantas Sabonis (back) out Saturday.
Out

Kevin Huerter
PF
Kevin Huerter (illness) available Wednesday
Probable
Devin Carter
PG
Carter is out with shoulder
Out

Fred VanVleet
PG
Fred VanVleet (hamstring) out Monday.
Doubtful
Dillon Brooks
PF
Dillon Brooks (illness) available Wednesday.
Probable
Cam Whitmore
PF
Whitmore is probable with knee
Probable

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scoring
Domantas Sabonis
25
ppg
rebounding
Domantas Sabonis
15
rpg
assists
Domantas Sabonis
8
apg
shooting
Alex Len
100
fg%

Rockets

Kings

39-84 (46%)

Field Goals

39-86 (45%)

22-27 (81%)

Free Throws

20-23 (87%)

12-29 (41%)

6-32 (19%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Rockets 11-5	o113.5-113	u113.5-111
Kings 8-7	o120.5-111	u120.5-115

Rockets vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - March 10, 2024

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