Thunder vs. Jazz Odds & Betting Predictions - February 22, 2025

Any SGA under is terrifying but this is the spot to fade him - in a game with plenty of blowout potential. One of the biggest swings for SGA has been the minutes he plays alongside of Chet Holmgren. When SGA plays with Chet, he has exceeded this line just once in 13 games this season with a 35-point performance against the second-fastest Paced team in the league, the Atlanta Hawks. The reason is simple. SGA sees his scoring drop from 47.7 points per 100 without Chet to 34.9 with him. While that is still an insane number of points, it's clear that he cedes some of the offensive burden to Chet. Now that Chet is returning post-ASB and his minutes crossed 30 in the last game, we should expect any minutes limitations to be lowered or completely removed. This takes some Usage away from Shai and it also clogs the paint a bit more with Chet and Hartenstein playing some minutes next to each other. This game has a 15 point spread. When OKC has won by double digits this season, SGA averages 31 ppg and has gone under this line in 67% of games. It's sweaty, but let's take this under.

Johnny