Warriors vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - November 20, 2025

Warriors at Heat

12:30 am • FDSSUN
96 - 110

Warriors at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Warriors
9-7
-1.5
+10.5-110
o234.5-110
+322
Heat
8-6
u233.5
-10.5-110
u234.5-110
-417
location pinThursday 12:30 a.m.
November 20, 2025
Kaseya CenterMiami
Warriors vs. Heat Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 22-72-0 (-56.7u)
GSW +150 (Live)
1.5u
📚Onyx Odds
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 68-76-0 (+27.7u)
B.Hield u12.5 Pts-122
0.7u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 201-194-2 (-1.1u)
MIA -10.5-105
1.19u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 47-33-1 (+25.4u)
Over 233.5-105
2u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-97-2 (-6.3u)
D.Mitchell o17.5 Pts+Ast-112
0.57u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 168-126-3 (+11.5u)
W.Richard u3.5 Ast-160
0.5u
The Warriors are without Stephen Curry and Jonathan Kuminga, while Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler are both doubtful. Buddy Hield is also questionable. This is not your typical Warriors scenario as Richard should see 30+ minutes tonight out of necessity. Still, Richard is averaging just 1.4 assists per game on 2.4 potential assists this season. RotoGrinders projections have Richard at 2.65 assists over 31 minutes, which is essentially the projection I have him at. Going back to his college career, Richard averaged 1.5 assists per game over four seasons. I do expect him to see an uptick in usage and responsibilities tonight, but I have 3 assists as the most likely scenario so I'll bite on u3.5 assists even at these odds.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-97-2 (-6.3u)
Over 233.5-109
0.11u
#⭐️ I like this paired with Miami moneyline: teams facing opponents on the last leg of a cross-conference road trip (longer flights, time zone changes, etc.) are 73% SU since 2003. * When Kerr’s teams are on a 3rd-in-4th nights back to back road game, the over is 18-14 * When Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green are not on the floor, the Warriors’ pace is considerably higher, and their turnover rate jumps to 18 percent leading to easier buckets for Miami. * Miami has gone over their team total in five of their six home games this season * The over this season when Miami has more or equal rest to their opponent is 6-3. Golden State’s young guys will run if the Warriors sit the veterans, and Miami will continue to push pace.
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 68-76-0 (+27.7u)
M.Moody To Score 20+ Points Yes+340
0.2u
Buckets Podcast
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 91-109-2 (-9.7u)
MIA -230
0.22u
@bryanfonseca ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/uRZi6ZSlqYb
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 211-186-6 (+11.7u)
Over 231-110
1u
Link in Bio for early access

Warriors vs. Heat Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Warriors vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Warriors

Public

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
9-4-16-13-3-13-16-3-1
Warriors
9-75-04-76-43-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat
9-54-35-22-27-3
Warriors
11-52-39-27-34-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
8-6N/AN/A3-15-5
Warriors
9-7N/AN/A6-43-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 18thNYKW 115-113-1 WU 244.5MIA -118
Nov 15th@NYKL 132-140+6.5 LO 240.5NYK +205
Nov 13thCLEL 116-130-4.5 LO 239.5CLE -192
Nov 11thCLEW 140-138+7.5 WO 248.5MIA +250
Nov 9thPORW 136-131+3.5 WO 241.5MIA +140

Heat vs. Warriors Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Tyler Herro
    SG

    Herro is out with ankle

    Out

  • Nikola Jovic
    PF

    Nikola Jovic (hip) out Wednesday.

    Out

Warriors Injuries

  • Al Horford
    C

    Horford is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Jimmy Butler
    SF

    Jimmy Butler (back) questionable Wednesday.

    Questionable

  • Draymond Green
    PF

    Draymond Green (illness) questionable Wednesday.

    Questionable

  • Stephen Curry
    PG

    Stephen Curry (ankle) out Wednesday.

    Out

  • De'Anthony Melton
    PG

    Melton is out with knee

    Out

  • Jonathan Kuminga
    PF

    Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out Friday.

    Out

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Norman Powell logo
    Norman Powell
    25
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Kel'el Ware logo
    Kel'el Ware
    16
    rpg
  • assists
    Jaime Jaquez logo
    Jaime Jaquez
    7
    apg
  • shooting
    Norman Powell logo
    Norman Powell
    71.4
    fg%
Team Stats
34-94 (36%)
Field Goals
39-96 (41%)
15-20 (75%)
Free Throws
19-26 (73%)
13-49 (27%)
3P
13-35 (37%)
61
Rebounds
52
24
Assists
30
Turnovers
8
Steals
10
5
Blocks
3
20
Fouls
17

Warriors vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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Warriors at Heat Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Warriors
9-7
N/A
N/A
Heat
8-6
N/A
N/A