UCF vs. TCU Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2024

UCF at TCU

11:30 pm • FOX
35 - 34

UCF at TCU Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
UCF
4-8
+3
+2.5-103
o61.5-110
+120
TCU
8-4
u62.5
-2.5-118
u61.5-110
-141
location pinSaturday 11:30 p.m.
September 14, 2024
Amon G. Carter StadiumFort Worth
UCF vs. TCU Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
98d ago
Last 30d: 287-259-6 (+2.8u)
UCF +120
1.2u
#ProSystem . sharp dogs Overall: 321-291-5,52% (ROI:27%) Season:6-1-0,86% (ROI:82%)
Mitch Carl
Mitch Carl
99d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
UCF +120
1.2u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
99d ago
Last 30d: 45-41-0 (-1.1u)
S.Williams o56.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
99d ago
Last 30d: 149-137-0 (+10.4u)
Under 62-110
1u
Tailing Steak
Royals Props
Royals Props
99d ago
Last 30d: 61-59-1 (-3.9u)
TCU -122
1.22u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
99d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
UCF +2.5-112
1u
Brett McMurphy
Brett McMurphy
99d ago
Last 30d: 10-10-2 (-1.3u)
UCF +2.5-112
0.89u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
100d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
UCF +2.5-110
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
100d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-6 (+0.2u)
UCF -2.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice UCF comes into this game with confidence, riding a 2-0 start to the season and proving their offensive prowess in both victories. Their offense, led by KJ Jefferson, has looked strong, especially in the running game. Jefferson has been efficient, completing 65.5% of his passes for 333 yards, and he adds a dual-threat dimension that could cause trouble for TCU. RJ Harvey has been a beast on the ground, rushing for 268 yards and six touchdowns in just two games. UCF is averaging an outstanding 51 points per game, and their balanced attack, with 177.5 passing yards and 419 rushing yards per contest, has been nearly unstoppable. Additionally, their defense has been stingy, allowing just 8.5 points per game and forcing turnovers, showcasing dominance against their early-season competition. While it's true that UCF's opponents have been relatively weak thus far, the efficiency in third-down situations and ball control (34:03 time of possession against Sam Houston) shows that UCF is executing at a high level regardless of the opposition. TCU, on the other hand, has shown vulnerability, especially on the defensive side of the ball. In their season opener against Stanford, the Horned Frogs struggled to contain the Cardinal, giving up big plays on the ground. This will be a significant concern against UCF, one of the top rushing teams in the nation. TCU’s offense was more balanced in their win, gaining 425 total yards with a solid 298 through the air, but their rush defense will face its toughest test yet against UCF’s relentless ground game. With UCF's ability to control the clock and maintain long drives, TCU may find themselves on the back foot for much of the game. Historically, UCF has done well in road openers, winning six of their last seven, and TCU has struggled in recent conference matchups, losing four of their last five games against such opponents. Additionally, TCU has failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as an underdog versus non-AP-ranked teams, suggesting that they may once again fail to meet expectations here. With the Knights showing dominance on the ground and boasting a more efficient overall offense, this is a game where UCF can capitalize on TCU’s defensive issues and wear them down over the course of four quarters.
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
102d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
UCF -2.5-112
1u
@_Collin1
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
103d ago
Last 30d: 82-79-4 (-24.6u)
UCF -120
2u
Project this number UCF -6, would take through a FG. Write up complete will be posted Thursday. Inside Zone read for UCF to crest issues for TCU defense. Frogs not able to establish the rush v LIU and Stanford
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
103d ago
Last 30d: 140-153-8 (-20.5u)
UCF +104
1.04u

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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UCF vs. TCU Public Betting Percentages

Public

63%

Bets%

37%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
TCU
5-72-43-33-52-1
UCF
5-73-42-33-52-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
TCU
7-53-34-25-32-1
UCF
8-45-23-25-33-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
TCU
8-4N/AN/A5-32-1
UCF
4-8N/AN/A3-51-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 8thLIUW 45-0-45.5 LU 55.5-
Aug 31st@STANW 34-27-8 LO 59.5TCU -310
Nov 24th@OUL 45-69+10.5 LO 66.5OU +330
Nov 18thBAYW 42-17-13 WU 61TCU -575
Nov 12thTEXL 26-29+13 WU 56TEX +400
Team Stats

Total

519
Total Yards
460
76
Total Plays
70
6.828947368421052
Yards Per Play
6.571428571428571

Passing

230
YDS
402
13/22
Comps/Atts
35/53
10.454545454545455
YPA
7.584905660377358
3/0
TDs/INTs
4/0
0/0
Sacks/Yards
0/0

Rushing

289
Rush Yards
58
54
Attempts
17
5.351851851851852
YPC
3.411764705882353
2
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/3 66.67%
Redzone
5/5 100%
11/16 0%
3rd Down
10/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

30
Total
26
11
Pass
21
17
Rush
3
2
Penalty
2

Misc

5/45
Penalties/Yards
4/40

UCF vs. TCU Odds Comparison

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UCF at TCU Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
UCF
4-8
o29.5-125
u29.5-110
TCU
8-4
o31.5-120
u31.5-120