Packers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023

Packers at Broncos

8:25 pm • CBS

Green Bay Packers

10-4

17 - 19

Denver Broncos

9-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Packers 10-4	-1	+1.5-110	o44-110	+100
Broncos 9-5	u44.5	-1.5-110	u44-110	-120

Sunday 8:25 p.m.

October 22, 2023

Empower Field at Mile HighDenver

DEN +1-108

0.93u

DEN +100

1.5u

A.Jones o50.5 Rush Yds-113

DEN +1-109

0.92u

Over 44.5-110

S.Perine u13.5 Rec Yds-120

@ChrisRaybon

Over 45-110

@SimonHunterNFL

GB -1-110

0.55u

S.Perine u13.5 Rec Yds-110

#ConvinceMe

Over 45-110

Tailing Wolo on this total

Over 45-108

D.Wicks u0.5 Recs+165

0.5u

GB -120

$120.00

Off a bye week. Fully healthy. Packers nation, now we go.

Under 45-110

0.91u

Available at FanDuel. Neither of these defenses are good -- but the offenses aren't, either. It's also a below-average matchup in terms of pace with Denver being relatively sluggish while Green Bay is around average. Denver games have been conducive to overs this year, and I did get bitten by taking the under in their game with the Bears, but I'd rather bet on that regressing with two below-average offenses than anything else. Maybe the Packers' bye and the Broncos' mini-bye energizes both sides, but I just think 45 is a few too many given the lack of offensive firepower in this game.

DEN +1.5-114

$100.00

DEN +2-110

0.91u

As @SimonHunterNFL said on our Sunday night episode of @TheFavoritesPodcast, “it’s stinky.” It also moved from 2 to 1.

Featured Insight
The Packers have gained at least 5 yards on 46.0% of first down plays this season -- tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed at least 5 yards on 50.0% of first down plays this season -- second-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Broncos RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.0% of 148 carries since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- second-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed 10+ yards on 12.0% of carries to RBs since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Broncos are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Broncos are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Broncos are 6-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Broncos' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Broncos' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	11-3	5-2	6-1	7-0	4-3
Packers	7-6-1	4-3	3-2-1	5-4	2-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Broncos	8-5-1	4-2-1	4-3	5-1-1	3-4
Packers	6-7-1	2-4-1	3-3	3-5-1	3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	9-5	N/A	N/A	7-0	2-5
Packers	10-4	N/A	N/A	8-1	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 13th	@KC	L 8-19	+10.5 L	U 47.5	KC +430
Oct 8th	NYJ	L 21-31	-2.5 L	O 42.5	NYJ -135
Oct 1st	@CHI	W 31-28	-3 L	O 47	DEN -162
Sep 24th	@MIA	L 20-70	+6 L	O 47.5	MIA +225
Sep 17th	WAS	L 33-35	-4 L	O 38.5	WAS -190

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is out with knee
Out

Corey Ballentine
CB
Ballentine is questionable with knee
Questionable
Luke Musgrave
TE
Musgrave is out with ankle
Out
Jordan Morgan
OL
Morgan is out with shoulder
Out
Javon Bullard
DB
Bullard is out with ankle
Out
MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out

Luke Wattenberg
C
Wattenberg is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out
Riley Moss
CB
Moss is out with knee
Out
Drew Sanders
LB
Sanders is out with achilles
Out
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB
McLaughlin is out with quad
Out

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Packers

Total

Broncos

331

Total Yards

339

Total Plays

5.4

Yards Per Play

6.2

Packers

Passing

Broncos

194

YDS

194

22/32

Comps/Atts

20/29

6.063

YPA

6.467

2/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

1/0

Packers

Rushing

Broncos

137

Rush Yards

145

Attempts

4.724

YPC

5.8

TDs

Packers

Turnovers

Broncos

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Packers

Efficiency

Broncos

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

1/4 25%

6/14 0%

3rd Down

5/12 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Packers

First Downs

Broncos

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Packers

Misc

Broncos

7/56

Penalties/Yards

8/60

31:37

Possession

28:23

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MatchupOverUnder
Packers 10-4	o22.5-105	u22.5-116
Broncos 9-5	o22.5-115	u22.5-106

Packers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023

Packers at Broncos

Green Bay Packers

Denver Broncos

Packers at Broncos Odds

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Broncos

Packers vs. Broncos Previews & Analysis

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How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football

Packers vs. Broncos: Expect Both Offenses to Find Success

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