Mercury vs. Liberty Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2025
Mercury at Liberty
11:30 pm • ION
Phoenix Mercury
24-1476
76 - 89
New York Liberty
24-1589
Mercury at Liberty Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercury 24-14 | +5.5 | +6-107 | o171.5-110 | +210 |
Liberty 24-15 | u169.5 | -6-112 | u171.5-110 | -260 |
Barclays CenterBrooklyn
Mercury vs. Liberty Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 71-65-5 (-0.9u)
S.Sabally u21.5 Pts+Rebs-110
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 27-26-1 (+0.3u)
S.Sabally u21.5 Pts+Rebs-110
0.45u
Was waiting all day for this to pop at main books but it’s at a few smaller ones and off shores shrug
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 71-65-5 (-0.9u)
B.Stewart u6.5 Rebs-104
0.52u
Joining @TurveyBets on this one, although he was able to grab plus odds last night and it has since moved to minus odds.
I’m expecting Jonquel Jones to remain on some kind of minutes limit but we’ve seen Stewart defer rebounds when Jones has been playing. I do worry about the number of threes the Mercury take as that could lead to long rebounds that land in Stewart’s hands, but Sabally and Thomas on the other end are decent rebounders that Stewart has to contend with. They’ve held her to 3 and 5 rebounds in their first two matchups so I’m hoping they can keep her off the glass again.
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 65-79-6 (-24.1u)
PHX +6-109
1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 40-37-6 (-0.4u)
A.Thomas u23.5 Pts+Ast-130
0.5u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 27-26-1 (+0.3u)
B.Stewart u6.5 Rebs+105
0.5u
Mercury vs. Liberty Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mercury vs. Liberty Public Betting Percentages
Mercury
Public
Liberty
100%
Bets%
0%Money%
Betting Trends
- Liberty are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Liberty are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Liberty are 3-14 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Liberty' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Liberty' 21 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-24-1 | 11-10 | 3-14-1 | 14-18 | 0-6-1 |
| 20-18 | 11-8 | 9-10 | 13-12 | 7-6 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-22-1 | 7-14 | 9-8-1 | 12-20 | 4-2-1 |
| 16-21-1 | 9-10 | 7-11-1 | 13-12 | 3-9-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-15 | N/A | N/A | 24-8 | 0-7 |
| 24-14 | N/A | N/A | 18-7 | 6-7 |
Last 5 Matchups
Liberty vs. Mercury Injury Updates
Liberty Injuries
- Breanna StewartF
Stewart is out with leg
Out
- Nyara SaballyC
Sabally is out with knee
Out
Mercury Injuries
Team Stats
Mercury
Liberty
31-77 (40%)
Field Goals
29-69 (42%)
7-13 (54%)
Free Throws
21-22 (95%)
7-30 (23%)
3P
10-31 (32%)
33
Rebounds
37
22
Assists
22
Turnovers
5
Steals
8
3
Blocks
8
19
Fouls
18
Mercury vs. Liberty Odds Comparison
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Mercury at Liberty Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Mercury 24-14 | o82.5-120 | u82.5-110 |
Liberty 24-15 | o88.5-115 | u88.5-115 |