Mystics vs. Valkyries Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2026

Austin has cleared this in 4 of her last 5 games, but this is the toughest possible matchup for her to rack up points and a good time to sell high. I'm projecting her closer to 12.9 points with around a 58% chance to stay under 13.5. This is also a good reminder that switching to a 0.5-unit baseline for my official plays doesn't mean I'm less confident or only betting half as much as I did pre-2025. Pre 2025 this probably wouldn’t have cleared the high bar I set for a play to be upgraded to “official”. The whole point was to lower my threshold for what qualifies as an official play and increase my volume. That's also why I ended up with 350+ official NFL plays last season and nearly 400 official plays since the NFL season ended. Props are usually very limited anyway, so I'm rarely sitting there trying to optimize every bet with Kelly Criterion staking. I'm usually just taking as much as they'll let me lol. If you want to gauge how much to stake at a granular level, should just use the projected % I provide for each prop to decide where you may want to be a bit more aggressive. I'd rank them Miles > Boston > Austin in terms of projected EV. “Sir, this is Arby’s”