Astros vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Astros at Cardinals

11:15 pm • MLB Network

Houston Astros

19-30

14 - 0

St. Louis Cardinals

27-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A. Wainwright			7.40	5-11
J.France			3.83	11-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 19-30	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals 27-19	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 11:15 p.m.

June 29, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

HOU -1.5+135

2.7u

HOU -106 (F5)

Under 10-110

1.1u

A.Wainwright u17.5 Outs-120

HOU -122 (F5)

0.5u

Over 9.5-120

0.83u

STL over 60% at home, highest total for a France start

HOU u4.5-105

1.05u

A.Wainwright o6.5 Hits Allowed-150

0.35u

Pitches to contact - over in 8/9 this season

STL -102

0.51u

France has estimators about a full run ahead of Wainwright, but STL has an 11 pt wRC+ edge v RHP, 1/4 run better bullpen estimators L30 days & HOU has really struggled against curveballs, which is the one remaining pitch Wainwright can still get outs with.

HOU -106 (F5)

0.5u

+102 at Rivers, bet to -114

How to Fade an Aging Wainwright in STL
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Jun 29, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
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The Astros are 59-34 (.634) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Kyle Tucker has struck out in just 15% of PA's since last season -- tied for 14th lowest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of just 15% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (80/403) against J.P. France this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- first Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .373 (50-for-134) against Adam Wainwright this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .249 -- 0 Percentile.

J.P. France had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (10/26) -- lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 15-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Cardinals' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	29-17	14-9	15-8	2-2	27-15
Astros	19-30	11-15	8-15	4-11	15-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	20-23-3	11-11-1	9-12-2	1-3	19-20-3
Astros	27-18-4	16-9-1	11-9-3	9-6	17-12-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	27-19	12-11	15-8	2-2	25-17
Astros	19-30	12-14	7-16	5-10	14-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	HOU	L 7-10	-	-	-
Jun 27th	HOU	W 4-2	-	-	-
Jun 25th	CHC	W 7-5	-	-	-
Jun 24th	CHC	L 1-9	-	-	-
Jun 21st	@WSH	L 0-3	-	-	-

Lars Nootbaar
LF
Nootbaar is out with heel
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P		97	7	2	0
RR.Montero, P		16	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-2	2	0	1
1M.Dubon, PH	1-2	1	0	0
1M.Dubon, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	3-5	3	1	4
3K.Tucker, RF	2-3	2	1	5
3J.Meyers, CF	1-2	1	0	0
4J.Abreu, 1B	1-3	1	0	2
4G.Kessinger, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	3-6	0	0	1
6C.Julks, LF	3-5	1	0	1
7B.Madris, DH	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	2-5	2	0	0
9C.McCormick, CF	1-5	1	0	0
9C.McCormick, RF	1-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA. Wainwright, P	58	1.2	1	6
LS.Matz, P	64	3.1	4	0
RJ.Woodford, P	50	2.1	1	4
LG.Cabrera, P	18	0.2	1	0
LA.Burleson, P	28	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
1B.Donovan, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
2O.Mercado, CF	0-1	0	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4A.Burleson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4A.Burleson, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Walker, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7N.Gorman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Edman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Edman, 2B	0-3	0	0	0