Astros vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 20, 2023

Astros at Rangers

9:07 pm • Fox Sports 1

Houston Astros

3-4

5 - 4

Texas Rangers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Montgomery			2.90	3-1
J.Verlander			2.95	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rangers 4-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 9:07 p.m.

October 20, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

TEX -115

1.15u

TEX -112

0.4u

Over 9-105

3.15u

M.Semien o1.5 Total Bases+150

0.5u

DK boost

J.Verlander o4.5 Ks-160

0.5u

J.Montgomery o3.5 Ks-155

0.5u

Under 9-110

0.5u

HOU o4.5+100

Roof closed makes it a more neutral run environment, hitter friendly ump - Montgomery's 4.04 SIERA thru 3 post-season starts almost perfecatly matches most his season numbers - HOU 118/122/117 wRC+ Rd/v LHP/Post-season - TEX great def, but post-season pen FIP, SIERA & xFIP all > 5

J.Montgomery o4.5 Ks+138

1.5u

5 Ks is in order if the Rangers plan to go forward. I’m all in on Rangers. Win or lose.

Under 9-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

Under 9.5-110

$1.00

Under 9-105

TEX -115

$2.30

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+108

1.25u

Boosted

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.63u

Under 9-120

0.6u

J.Verlander u3.5 Earned Runs-155

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.13u

Featured Insight
The Rangers have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- 10th-lowest in MLB (203 games). The Astros have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB (204 games).

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Featured Insight
Rangers have won 61% of their games at home over the last week -- fourth-best in MLB. Astros have won just 48% of their games at home over the last week -- tied for eighth-worst.

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The Astros are 27-18 (.600) after a road win this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .478 since last season -- worst among hitters with at least 484 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Ryan Pressly has allowed an OPS of just .580 (450 PAs) since last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Corey Seager is batting .299 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Justin Verlander has thrown a breaking pitch 46% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (446/1,071) when behind in the count since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .203 (13-for-64) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	86-76	46-35	40-41	39-42	46-30
Astros	82-80	37-44	45-36	43-60	39-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	71-89-2	29-51-1	42-38-1	34-46-1	36-39-1
Astros	72-83-7	36-43-2	36-40-5	45-56-2	25-27-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	22-24	48-33	33-48	49-32	30-46
Astros	19-29	46-35	41-40	56-47	31-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 20th	HOU	L 3-10	-	-	-
Oct 19th	HOU	L 5-8	-	-	-
Oct 16th	@HOU	W 5-4	-	-	-
Oct 16th	@HOU	W 2-0	-	-	-
Oct 11th	BAL	W 7-1	-	-	-

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out with elbow
Out
Cody Freeman
3B
Freeman is out with back
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	82	5.2	3	4
RH.Neris, P	17	1.1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	6	0	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	24	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	1	1	3
2M.Dubon, CF	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	2	1	1
4Y.Alvarez, DH	2-5	0	0	0
5J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
6K.Tucker, RF	2-3	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7M. Brantley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M. Brantley, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Diaz, PH	1-1	1	0	0
8Y.Diaz, C	1-1	1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Singleton, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Kessinger, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9G.Kessinger, SS	0-0	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	82	5.1	3	2
RJ.Sborz, P	18	1.2	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	15	0.2	1	0
RJ.Leclerc, P	30	1.1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3E.Carter, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	1	3
4T.Jankowski, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4T.Jankowski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5L.Taveras, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Jung, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Lowe, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
8M.Garver, DH	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Smith, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Heim, C	2-4	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, PR	0-0	0	0	0