Astros vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2025

Astros at Rays

5:10 pm • FDSSUN

Houston Astros

10-18

4 - 8

Tampa Bay Rays

15-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			4.61	6-6
H.Brown			2.43	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 10-18	-1.5	-1.5+107	o8.5-112	-168
Rays 15-11	u9	+1.5-122	u8.5-110	+142

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

May 21, 2025

George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa

T.Bradley u17.5 Outs+120

Full writeup: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/houston-astros-vs-tampa-bay-rays-prediction-pick-odds-wednesday-may-21-qs?utm_source=action_app&utm_medium=app&utm_campaign=article_share

HOU -1-130

HOU -148

1.48u

I.Paredes To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+500

1.25u

C.Walker To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+320

0.25u

HOU -0.5 (F5)-105

1.05u

T.Bradley o1.5 BB-117

HOU -158 (F5)

HOU -0.5 (F5)-110

0.55u

H.Brown o6.5 Ks-106

1.06u

Took this on NoVig, but Action doesn't have them as a book to track yet.

I.Paredes o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

HOU -140 (F5)

$1.40

HOU -135

Rays stuck in a home rut – 3-13 in last 16 at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Taj Bradley shaky – 5 ER in 4 IP last start, 9.95 ERA in 3 career outings vs Astros. Bullpen collapse: 5.86 ERA last 3 games. Houston’s offense clicking – Altuve, Meyers heating up. Hunter Brown = lights out. 6-2, 1.43 ERA, 0.829 WHIP in ‘25. 2-0 vs Rays, 1.06 ERA career. 27.0 bullpen innings last 3 games, 1.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP. Brown last 3 starts: 1.83 ERA, 0.813 WHIP. No signs of slowing. Rays can’t solve him. Offense won’t save them. Bradley has 5 HR allowed in 12.2 IP vs HOU. Rays scoring just 3.79 runs/game at home (24th in MLB). Astros had won 5 of 7 before Tuesday. Multiple analysts backing Houston. Dimers model leans Astros (55%). Too many signs to ignore.

T.Bradley o2.5 Earned Runs+105

0.48u

TB +122

3.66u

H.Brown o7.5 Ks+145

0.34u

H.Brown o6.5 Ks-132

0.25u

TB +123

0.62u

Bet to +108

Under 8.5+105

0.5u

T.Bradley u4.5 Ks+130

0.5u

Lower K% vs RHBs career (23.4%) and this year (18%). 5.25 Bot ERA, 89 Pitching+. 5 of F6 in proj HOU LU all below 19 K% v RHP since last year - hitter friendly park and weather

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 8-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Rays' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	15-11	7-4	8-7	9-6	6-5
Astros	10-18	6-9	4-9	4-11	6-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	16-9-1	6-5	10-4-1	9-5-1	7-4
Astros	19-8-1	11-4	8-4-1	9-6	9-2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	15-11	7-4	8-7	9-6	6-5
Astros	10-18	7-8	3-10	5-10	5-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	TB -135
May 19th	HOU	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	HOU -144
May 18th	@MIA	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -164
May 17th	@MIA	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TB -147
May 16th	@MIA	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -126

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

Zach Dezenzo
LF
Dezenzo is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	91	5	4	5
LB.Sousa, P	25	2	3	0
RF.Whitley, P	33	0.2	1	3
LS.Okert, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Pena, SS	0-3	1	0	0
2I.Paredes, 3B	2-4	2	2	3
3J.Altuve, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Smith, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Rodgers, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Caratini, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, LF	2-2	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	84	6	7	2
LG.Cleavinger, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Uceta, P	15	1	2	2
RP.Fairbanks, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	2-5	2	1	3
2J.Lowe, RF	2-4	1	1	1
3B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Aranda, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
5J.Caballero, SS	1-3	0	0	0
6C.Simpson, LF	1-4	0	0	1
7K.Misner, CF	0-2	1	0	0
8C.Mead, 3B	2-3	2	1	1
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-4	0	0	0