Astros vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Astros at Royals

11:40 pm • SCHN2

Houston Astros

42-45

3 - 4

Kansas City Royals

35-50

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9
C.Javier			3.89	3-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 42-45	-1.5+136	o8.5-106	-120
Royals 35-50	+1.5-162	u8.5-113	+101

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8.5-102

Over 8.5-115

0.55u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.5u

HOU -125

… road fav off win vs team off win non division game Overall: 219-123-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:74%)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

$1.20

C.Javier o4.5 Ks-115

Over 8.5-110

1.65u

Over 8.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -110

KC -105 (F5)

0.53u

Ragans has struck out 16 of 48 with a 17 SwStr%, 51.9 GB% and no Barrels. Javier has a new changeup and it might be good, but still has just a 9.1 SwStr% through two starts and estimators above his 4.27 ERA since last year. The Royals have hit RHP a bit htis year (113 wRC+) and have actually shown a better defense than Astros so far. Ragans' reverse split (RHBs < .270 wOBA, xwOBA since LY) helps here too.

Featured Insight
The Astros have allowed just 3.8 runs per game since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB (335 games). The Royals have scored just 4.1 runs per game since the 2022 season -- seventh lowest in MLB (334 games).

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Featured Insight
Royals hitters had a hard-hit rate of 42% last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Astros last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Tuesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 9, 2024 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 18-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Royals' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	37-48	19-22	18-26	14-21	22-27
Astros	41-46	19-23	22-23	9-19	31-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	42-42-1	21-19-1	21-23	21-14	21-27-1
Astros	44-38-5	24-16-2	20-22-3	16-11-1	27-26-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	35-50	19-22	16-28	16-19	18-31
Astros	42-45	20-22	22-23	12-16	29-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -130
Apr 6th	CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	KC -238
Apr 5th	CWS	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -185
Apr 4th	CWS	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 8	KC -185
Apr 3rd	@BAL	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	BAL +147

Lance McCullers
P
Lance McCullers Jr. has been scratched Tuesday. Jason Alexander will start.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	93	5.1	4	2
RR.Montero, P	7	0.2	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	19	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	26	1	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	11	1	0	0
RW.Suero, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	1	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	4-5	0	2
3K.Tucker, DH	2-5	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	1-5	0	1
6C.McCormick, RF	1-5	0	0
7J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	0	0
7V.Caratini, PH	0-1	0	0
7V.Caratini, 1B	0-1	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	2-5	1	0
9M.Dubon, CF	1-3	1	0
9J.Singleton, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	96	5	5	3
RN.Anderson, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Stratton, P	21	1	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	8	1	0	0
RJ.McArthur, P	25	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	1	1
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-4	0	0
3G.Hampson, PR	0-0	1	0
4S.Perez, C	2-5	0	1
5M.Melendez, LF	1-2	0	0
5D.Blanco, PR	0-0	0	0
5D.Blanco, LF	0-0	0	0
6N.Velazquez, DH	2-4	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	1	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	1	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0