Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Braves at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSSO
12 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
MacKenzie Gore logoM.GoreWashington Nationals logo3.9010-12
Reynaldo Lopez logoR.LopezAtlanta Braves logo1.998-5

Braves at Nationals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
0-2
-1.5+119
o7.5-108
-142
Nationals
0-0
+1.5-141
u7.5-112
+120
location pinTuesday 10:45 p.m.
September 10, 2024
Nationals ParkWashington
Braves vs. Nationals Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
102d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-6 (+0.2u)
Under 8 (Live)-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Lopez has been in great form of late, having a 2.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP across his last three starts, commanding the zone very well - evident by the strikeout-to-walk ratio - providing batters with minimal opportunities to force runs across the board. About his last outing against Washington, in which he has given up just one earned run across six innings, it would appear to most that Lopez has the Nationals' number. The Braves bullpen further helps this along with a sterling 1.14 ERA over their last three games to really hammer home the taking of Atlanta with their incredible pitching. All in all, the Atlanta staff ranks 2nd in the league with a 3.51 team ERA while leading MLB in strikeouts to show they have the ability to overpower opposing hitters on a consistent basis. On the other hand, MacKenzie Gore has been doing alright of late, possessing a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts-something that may just show this will be a low-scoring duel between two in-form pitchers. Though a season WHIP of 1.50 would indicate that he allows more baserunners than one could want, he has mostly worked his way out of those jams to this point in keeping recent games close. His last time out against the Atlanta club, where he allowed just the one earned run, shows he can navigate this Braves offense that's struggled lately to put runs across the plate. The Braves offense has also struggled mightily of late, batting .204 over their last 10 games and averaging a paltry 3.00 runs per game over that stretch. It also doesn't help that they have minimal pop (0.6 home runs per game) and strike out a bunch (8.4 per game), which shows that they may not take advantage of Gore's occasional control problems very well. Meanwhile, Washington's bullpen hasn't been quite as tight, as evidenced by their 5.62 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over the its last three appearances. On the other side, Atlanta's offense has gone cold, averaging just 2.40 runs per game over its last 10 contests. Even against a scuffling Nationals bullpen, it's unlikely that the Braves suddenly explode for a high-scoring output. Washington's offense has similarly been inconsistent this season, scoring an average of 4.40 runs per game, but striking out an average of 8.0 times per game and hitting just 0.9 home runs per game. The Nationals also rank dead middle of the pack in runs per game at 4.22 and 22nd in OPS at .691, meaning they are not a threat to blow the game wide open. With both teams struggling with offensive games, and both teams having strong starting pitchers opposing each other, this looks like the premier matchup to stay under the total. Lopez and Gore have proven capable of keeping these lineups in check all season, and recent trends point to another low-scoring affair. The "Under" has hit in six of the last eight meetings between these two teams, and it's tough to envision where either side would break out offensively in this matchup. Take the under and expect an extremely contested, grind-it-out-style battle.
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
102d ago
Last 30d: 36-33-2 (+0.2u)
Under 8-115
1u
Join our 25,000+ Movement! 🚀 https://discord.gg/house-of-degens Follow me on twitter 🐥 https://twitter.com/VegasIsMyBitchh September MLB Record: 3-0🔥 ⚙️3 High Volume Systems for under: Overall: 272-227-30,55% (ROI:7%) Season:272-227-30,55% (ROI:7%) Overall: 158-137-12,54% (ROI:4%) Season:158-137-12,54% (ROI:4%) Overall: 322-269-22,54% (ROI:6%) Season:322-269-22,54% (ROI:6%)
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
102d ago
Last 30d: 182-208-6 (+8.5u)
ATL -141
1.5u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
102d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
R.Lopez o5.5 Ks-123
1.23u
Reynaldo is over this line in 14/22 full starts, including 10/L13 with the lone miss at SDP. 14 Ks in 12 IP vs the Nats this season. Even at their 21.7% K% vs righties over the L2 weeks, Lopez is an elite K pitcher who I have hitting this before the end of the 5th.
JB Bets
JB Bets
103d ago
Last 30d: 36-13-0 (+17.4u)
ATL -134
0.75u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
103d ago
Last 30d: 78-89-1 (-23.1u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
103d ago
Last 30d: 52-48-1 (+13.8u)
WSH +117
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
103d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
WSH +127 (F5)
0.25u
Small to -119
WSH +138
0.5u
Bet to +129

PRO Insights

Braves logo

Braves

ATL Insights
  • Braves logoThe Braves have scored 5.1 runs per game since last season -- second highest in MLB (305 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.0 runs per game since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (305 games).
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Nationals logo

Nationals

WSH Insights
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    Braves vs. Nationals Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Braves vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages

    74%

    Bets%

    26%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nationals
    89-7344-3745-3614-1275-59
    Braves
    75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nationals
    76-78-837-39-539-39-39-16-165-62-7
    Braves
    58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nationals
    71-9138-4333-4815-1156-78
    Braves
    89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Sep 8th@PITL 3-7+1.5 LO 8.5PIT +132
    Sep 7th@PITW 8-6+1.5 WO 7.5WSH +124
    Sep 7th@PITW 5-3+1.5 WU 8.5WSH +110
    Sep 5th@PITL 4-9+1.5 LO 8PIT +105
    Sep 4th@MIAL 3-4-1.5 LU 8.5MIA -146

    Braves vs. Nationals Injury Updates

    Braves Injuries

    • Chris Sale
      P

      Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

      Out

    • Ronald Acuna
      OF

      Acuna is out for season with knee

      Out for Season

    • Austin Riley
      IF

      Riley is out with hand

      Out

    • Spencer Strider
      P

      Strider is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    Nationals Injuries

    • Alex Call
      OF

      Call is out with foot

      Out

    • Josiah Gray
      P

      Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

      Out

    • Cade Cavalli
      P

      Cavalli is out with elbow

      Out

    Braves vs. Nationals Box Score
    Braves Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Reynaldo Lopez logoRR.Lopez, P25110
    Jesse Chavez logoRJ.Chavez, P39330
    John Brebbia logoRJ.Brebbia, P42320
    Luke Jackson logoRL.Jackson, P37230
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Michael Harris logo1M.Harris, CF3-6222
    Jorge Soler logo2J.Soler, RF1-4201
    Eli White logo2E.White, RF0-1000
    Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH1-2200
    Adam Duvall logo3A.Duvall, PH0-0100
    Adam Duvall logo3A.Duvall, DH0-0100
    Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B3-5102
    Ramon Laureano logo5R.Laureano, LF3-5103
    Sean Murphy logo6S.Murphy, C2-4113
    Gio Urshela logo7G.Urshela, 3B0-5000
    Orlando Arcia logo8O.Arcia, SS1-5111
    Luke Williams logo9L.Williams, 2B1-5100
    Nationals Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    MacKenzie Gore logoLM.Gore, P793.232
    Jacob Barnes logoRJ.Barnes, P100.211
    Joe La Sorsa logoLJ.La Sorsa, P261.222
    Zach Brzykcy logoRZ.Brzykcy, P16110
    Tanner Rainey logoRT.Rainey, P25111
    Ildemaro Vargas logoRI.Vargas, P11101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    CJ Abrams logo1C.Abrams, SS0-3000
    Nasim Nunez logo1N.Nunez, SS0-0000
    James Wood logo2J.Wood, LF1-4000
    Keibert Ruiz logo3K.Ruiz, C0-4000
    Andres Chaparro logo4A.Chaparro, DH0-2000
    Jose Tena logo5J.Tena, 3B2-4000
    Luis Garcia logo6L.Garcia, 2B0-2000
    Darren Baker logo6D.Baker, PH0-2000
    Darren Baker logo6D.Baker, 2B0-2000
    Dylan Crews logo7D.Crews, RF0-4000
    Joey Gallo logo8J.Gallo, 1B0-2000
    Jacob Young logo9J.Young, CF0-3000

    Braves vs. Nationals Odds Comparison

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    Braves at Nationals Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Braves
    0-2
    o3.5-145
    u3.5+114
    Nationals
    0-0
    o3.5+110
    u3.5-140