Cardinals vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Cardinals at Tigers

5:10 pm • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

35-28

1 - 4

Detroit Tigers

27-39

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			6.09	3-7
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 35-28	-1.5+143	o9-109	-120
Tigers 27-39	+1.5-166	u9-111	+100

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

Under 9-108

0.5u

Negative run ennv. (96 Statcast 3 yr) w/ 15 mph wind in from RF. DET 91 wRC+ v RHP/STL 88, both defenses above average so far, STL top 5 pen estimators L30 days

M.Mikolas u1.5 BB-165

M.Mikolas u17.5 Outs-110

0.55u

STL +100 (F5)

0.5u

STL +100

0.5u

Over 8.5-112

0.56u

STL -105

1.58u

System play

K.Maeda o4.5 Ks+112

1.12u

Under 8.5-110

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Featured Insight
Tigers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 3% of innings played this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 9 times (4%) this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 36-49 (.424) after a win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Tigers are 40-12 (.769) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Spencer Torkelson has an OPS of just .689 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .484 (447 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (31/124) against Kenta Maeda on sliders since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 41% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .293 (17-for-58) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 -- first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (31 Total Bases / 58 ABs) with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 14-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Tigers' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	32-34	18-13	14-21	15-19	17-13
Cardinals	38-25	21-14	17-11	7-4	31-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	29-34-3	12-17-2	17-17-1	15-17-2	13-16-1
Cardinals	27-32-4	17-16-2	10-16-2	4-6-1	22-26-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	27-39	16-15	11-24	16-18	11-19
Cardinals	35-28	19-16	16-12	8-3	27-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	STL	W 11-6	-	O 9	DET -115
Apr 30th	STL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	STL -124
Apr 28th	KC	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	DET -174
Apr 27th	KC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8	DET -112
Apr 26th	KC	L 0-8	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -128

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	101	6	4	3
LM.Liberatore, P	8	1	1	0
LJ.Romero, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	1	1
3L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5P.Goldschmidt, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Burleson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Burleson, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Winn, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	2-2	0	0	0
9J.Fermin, PH	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	79	6	5	1
RW.Vest, P	13	0.2	0	0
LJ.Wentz, P	21	1	1	0
RA.Lange, P	24	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Canha, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Perez, CF	1-4	1	0	0
3W.Perez, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4A.Ibanez, PH	1-1	0	0	0
4P.Meadows, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Meadows, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	2-3	2	1	3
6S.Torkelson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8J.Baez, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-2	0	0	0