Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Diamondbacks at Cardinals

11:45 pm • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

34-31

14 - 1

St. Louis Cardinals

35-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Matz			5.08	1-2
T.Henry			7.04	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 34-31	-1.5	+1.5-170	o8.5-120	+120
Cardinals 35-28	u8.5	-1.5+145	u8.5+100	-142

Tuesday 11:45 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL -141

1.41u

ARI +120

1.2u

STL -135

ARI +130 (F5)

1.3u

SPs similar estimators. ARI 48 pt wRC+ edge v LHP (small sample, but still signficant). Similar defensive numbers, but STL better pen so F5.

T.Henry u4.5 Ks-145

1.45u

ARI +115

1.73u

ARI +0.5 (F5)-135

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks are batting .300 with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .333 (25-for-75) against Cardinals RPs with RISP this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Tuesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 23, 2024 UTC

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The Cardinals are just 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .292 -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (26/68) against Steven Matz this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 17-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cardinals' 35 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	38-25	21-14	17-11	7-4	31-20
Diamondbacks	39-26	21-14	18-12	15-13	23-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	27-32-4	17-16-2	10-16-2	4-6-1	22-26-3
Diamondbacks	30-32-3	14-20-1	16-12-2	11-16-1	18-16-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	35-28	19-16	16-12	8-3	27-24
Diamondbacks	34-31	21-14	13-17	18-10	15-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	STL -115
Apr 21st	MIL	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -166
Apr 20th	MIL	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -140
Apr 20th	MIL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	MIL +102
Apr 17th	@ATH	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	ATH -130

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Henry, P		93	6	6	1
LL.Allen, P		34	3	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-5	2	0	0
2G.Moreno, C	2-5	1	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	3-5	3	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	2-4	2	1	3
5E.Suarez, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
6R.Grichuk, RF	1-3	2	0	1
7P.Smith, DH	2-5	2	1	6
8K.Newman, SS	1-5	1	1	2
9J.McCarthy, CF	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Matz, P	92	4.1	4	7
LZ.Thompson, P	66	2.2	5	7
RN.Robertson, P	24	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
1B.Donovan, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-2	1	1	1
2P.Pages, C	0-1	0	0	0
3N.Arenado, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
3B.Crawford, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3B.Crawford, SS	0-2	0	0	0
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Winn, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Burleson, LF	1-1	0	0	0
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Walker, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	0	0	0