Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Diamondbacks at Orioles

11:05 pm • Apple TV+

Arizona Diamondbacks

22-23

2 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

21-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Irvin			4.86	6-5
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 22-23	+1.5-185	o7.5-115	+114
Orioles 21-26	-1.5+154	u7.5-105	-135

Friday 11:05 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -130

0.77u

A.Rutschman o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

1.2u

C.Irvin u1.5 BB-130

Under 8-120

Under 7.5+100

$13.00

Under 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

ARI o3.5 Team Total-120

1.2u

B.Pfaadt o4.5 Ks-165

ARI +132

0.5u

Bet to +124

ARI +0.5 (F5)-120

0.3u

Small to -135 or add more ML

ARI +120 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +104

ARI +120 (F5)

1.5u

(ADDING ANOTHER 1/2 UNIT) Pfaadt 3.28 SIERA/3.34 xERA/102 Stuff+, Irvin 4.13/3.72/84 - BAL 102 wRC+ v RHP, ARI 145 (16.9 K%) v LHP

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Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .285 with RISP since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .280 (206-for-736) against Diamondbacks RPs with RISP since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are just 83-9 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Orioles are 34-58 (.370) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .562 this season -- tied for eighth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a SLG of .573 vs left-handed batters this season -- second worst among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a just .111 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)-- 98th Percentile and .783 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)-- first Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 75% (68/91) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 10-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Orioles' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	21-26	11-13	10-13	12-15	9-11
Diamondbacks	27-18	13-8	14-10	10-7	16-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	27-19-1	12-12	15-7-1	14-12-1	13-7
Diamondbacks	23-20-2	9-11-1	14-9-1	7-9-1	15-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	21-26	12-12	9-14	14-13	7-13
Diamondbacks	22-23	12-9	10-14	10-7	11-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	@WSH	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -167
May 7th	@WSH	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -218
May 5th	@CIN	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +110
May 4th	@CIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL +102
May 3rd	@CIN	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -101

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	88	6	0	3
LL.Allen, P	8	0.1	0	1
RJ.Martinez, P	27	1.2	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	1-5	1	1	1
2C.Carroll, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5R.Grichuk, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Pederson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
7G.Moreno, C	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Alexander, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Irvin, P	95	5.2	6	2
RA.Suarez, P	6	0.1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Webb, P	13	0.2	0	0
LC.Perez, P	6	0.1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-3	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	1-2	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0
5A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	0
5R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	0-3	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	0	1
8C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	1
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-3	1	0