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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2023

Diamondbacks at Padres

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

34-32
8
8 - 6

San Diego Padres

34-32
6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Yu Darvish logoY.DarvishSan Diego Padres logo4.568-10
Zac Gallen logoZ.GallenArizona Diamondbacks logo3.4717-9

Diamondbacks at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
34-32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Padres
34-32
N/A
N/A
N/A
location pinTuesday 8:10 p.m.
April 04, 2023
Petco ParkSan Diego
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Expert Picks
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 40-43-3 (+0.6u)
J.Cronenworth o0.5 RBI+250
0.5u
Piggybacking my over 0.5 hits bet as this is a good time to buy low on Cronenworth. He tends to struggle against fastballs 95+ mph, but Gallen is typically in the 93-94 range. Gallen also could struggle a bit with the new shift rules as he has a .243 wOBA allowed with a shift vs. .291 wOBA allowed with no shift. Projecting this closer to +200
J.Cronenworth o0.5 Hits-135
1u
BetMGM: Good time to buy low on Cronenworth who is off to a terrible start. He has been extremely unlucky with a .077 BABIP so far. He should eventually benefit from the new shift rules and Gallen is definitely going to be hurt by them. Gallen has allowed a career .247 BABIP with a shift and a .293 BABIP with no shift. Projecting this closer to -155
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ARI +128
1.28u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 71-67-11 (+0.7u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-105
1.05u
Both SPs estimators lower threes - Def comb 62 Runs Prevented LY - ARI team 49 wRC+ so far - Pitcher friendly park & umpire - both SPs had reverse splits LY (7 LHBs in SDP LU) - Don't want none of ARI bullpen though
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 22-29-1 (-2.9u)
ARI +120 (F5)
1u
Bet365 1:29.
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ARI +125
0.63u
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 10-3-0 (+10.1u)
ARI +125
1.25u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 17-20-0 (-1.0u)
X.Bogaerts o0.5 Doubles+425
0.1u
Bet at Bet365. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.
X.Bogaerts o0.5 HR+750
0.75u
Bet at Caesars. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 175-150-3 (+9.4u)
Y.Darvish o5.5 Ks+100
1u
ARI +120 (F5)
0.5u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 71-68-1 (+9.6u)
ARI +125
$1.25
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD -147 (F5)
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 7-7-0 (+0.5u)
SD -146
1u
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 5-7-0 (-0.5u)
ARI +120
0.6u
ARI +115 (F5)
0.5u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 15-11-3 (+4.7u)
Under 3.5 (F5)+159
0.5u
fd 50% boost +106
Under 3.5 (F5)+106
1.5u
2U on FD… Value here is too good… other .5U with odds boost

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo•
    Apr 4, 2023 UTC
  • Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Gallen, Snakes Have Value article feature image

    Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Gallen, Snakes Have Value

    D.J. James•
    Apr 4, 2023 UTC
  • Tuesday's Random MLB Sharp Action Alert! article feature image

    Tuesday's Random MLB Sharp Action Alert!

    PJ Walsh•
    Apr 4, 2023 UTC
See more MLB Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Diamondbacks

Public

Home Logo

Padres

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Padres are 16-13 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Padres' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Padres' 37 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres		36-3020-1716-1316-1620-14
Diamondbacks		39-2721-1418-1315-1323-14

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres		28-37-115-21-113-1612-19-116-18
Diamondbacks		31-32-314-20-117-12-211-16-119-16-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres		34-3218-1916-1317-1517-17
Diamondbacks		34-3221-1413-1818-1015-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 4thARIW 5-4---
Apr 2ndCOLW 3-1---
Apr 2ndCOLW 8-4---
Apr 1stCOLL 1-4---
Mar 31stCOLL 2-7---

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Corbin Burnes
    SP

    Burnes is out with elbow

    Out

  • Blake Walston
    SP

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Locklear
    1B

    Locklear is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    SP

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out with elbow

    Out

  • Will Wagner
    3B

    Wagner is out with oblique

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Zac Gallen logoRZ.Gallen, P86634
Kevin Ginkel logoRK.Ginkel, P11110
Drey Jameson logoRD.Jameson, P38221
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Josh Rojas logo1J.Rojas, 3B3-3102
Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B1-5000
Lourdes Gurriel logo3L.Gurriel, DH0-4001
Christian Walker logo4C.Walker, 1B0-4000
Corbin Carroll logo5C.Carroll, LF0-5000
Jake McCarthy logo6J.McCarthy, RF2-3200
Alek Thomas logo7A.Thomas, CF0-3100
Geraldo Perdomo logo8G.Perdomo, SS1-1303
Herrera logo9J.Herrera, C2-3101
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Yu Darvish logoRY.Darvish, P91531
Nabil Crismatt logoRN.Crismatt, P28113
Domingo Tapia logoRD. Tapia, P12100
Luis Garcia logoRL.Garcia, P210.104
Brent Honeywell logoRB.Honeywell, P261.210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Trent Grisham logo1T.Grisham, CF1-5111
Juan Soto logo2J.Soto, LF2-5100
Manny Machado logo3M.Machado, DH0-1000
Nelson Cruz logo3N. Cruz, PH1-4111
Nelson Cruz logo3N. Cruz, DH1-4111
Xander Bogaerts logo4X.Bogaerts, SS2-4212
Jake Cronenworth logo5J.Cronenworth, 2B3-4100
Matt Carpenter logo6M.Carpenter, 1B0-3000
Nola logo7A.Nola, C1-3001
David Dahl logo8D.Dahl, RF0-3000
Jose Azocar logo8J.Azocar, RF0-0000
Rougned Odor logo8R. Odor, PH0-1000
Ha-Seong Kim logo9H.Kim, 3B0-4000

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
34-32
N/A
N/A
Padres
34-32
N/A
N/A