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Giants vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2025

Giants at Phillies

10:45 pm • NBCS-PH

San Francisco Giants

72-69
11
11 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

82-59
4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Aaron Nola logoA.NolaPhiladelphia Phillies logo6.783-8
Robbie Ray logoR.RaySan Francisco Giants logo3.3110-6

Giants at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants
72-69
+1.5
+1.5-163
o8-111
+128
Phillies
82-59
u7.5
-1.5+136
u8-110
-152
location pinWednesday 10:45 p.m.
April 16, 2025
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Giants vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 170-185-1 (-15.3u)
Under 8 (Live)-103
2u
#BQ
SF +127 (Live)
2.54u
#BQ
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 80-73-6 (+0.0u)
R.Ray u6.5 Ks-145
0.36u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 13-20-1 (-2.9u)
R.Ray u6.5 Ks-145
1.45u
Proj closer to -200. Ray off to a disappointing start (in terms of Ks) with just a 21% K rate. My expected K model suggests he deserves to be right around there but he’s also had a fairly easy schedule to start. He struck out the final two batters in his last start to barely go over by 0.5 (one of many brutal losses recently lol), but I think that helped us get another 6.5 prop for him here for a run it back play.
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PHI -148
1.48u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 28-27-0 (-2.9u)
R.Ray o2.5 BB-125
1u
Doesn’t have the option for buying down on here. Playing 2 walks with Dean Kremer 4 hits allowed -125
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 10-21-0 (-12.6u)
PHI -1.5+155
0.75u
Blood oath
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 76-71-5 (+3.2u)
Under 8-120
1u
Both starters thrive on contact management – Nola 49% GB rate, Ray 41% FB with clean barrels. Phillies lineup hitting just .209 vs LHP over last 5 games. Giants offense ranks 22nd in AVG (.225) and 20th in runs – not built for high-volume innings. Slow tempo favored. San Fran bullpen dealing – 1.93 ERA, 1.04 WHIP over 60.2 IP. In their last 3: 26.2 IP, just 6 ER. With fresh arms and solid metrics, late-game scoring looks limited. Unders trending strong – Phillies 7-1 after a win. Giants seeing 4 of last 6 road games stay under. Both teams average fewer than 4.5 runs/gm vs today’s pitching splits. Contact-heavy lineups + bullpen depth = recipe for a quiet box score.
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 69-60-3 (+5.6u)
Over 7.5-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 177-176-5 (+5.3u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Flat to -116
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 91-84-5 (+18.8u)
Over 7.5-115
0.87u
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Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 10-21-0 (-12.6u)
Under 7.5+101
1u
Gem mining
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 93-75-0 (+46.0u)
PHI -143
3u
PHI -143
3u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 91-95-1 (-9.3u)
A.Nola u6.5 Ks-120
1.3u
4.35% ev
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 177-176-5 (+5.3u)
PHI -140 (F5)
0.5u
Flat to -145
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 91-84-5 (+18.8u)
PHI -140
1u
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Giants vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis

  • Giants vs. Phillies: F5 Play to Make article feature image

    Giants vs. Phillies: F5 Play to Make

    John Feltman•
    Apr 16, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Giants vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Giants

Public

Home Logo

Phillies

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Phillies are 37-36 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Phillies' 68 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies		70-7133-3537-3654-6016-11
Giants		65-7629-4036-3631-5133-24

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies		58-73-1033-32-325-41-748-56-1010-17
Giants		66-70-528-40-138-30-430-51-134-19-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies		82-5945-2337-3670-4412-15
Giants		72-6935-3437-3544-3827-30

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 15thSFW 6-4-1.5 WO 8PHI -165
Apr 14thSFL 4-10+1.5 LO 9SF -116
Apr 13th@STLL 0-7-1.5 LU 8STL -170
Apr 12th@STLW 4-1-1.5 WU 8PHI -180
Apr 12th@STLL 0-2-1.5 LU 7.5STL -118

Phillies vs. Giants Injury Updates

Phillies Injuries

    Giants Injuries

    • Tom Murphy
      C

      Murphy is out with back

      Out

    • JT Brubaker
      RP

      Brubaker is out with ribs

      Out

    See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
    Giants vs. Phillies Box Score
    Giants Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Robbie Ray logoLR.Ray, P93484
    Lou Trivino logoRL.Trivino, P29220
    Camilo Doval logoRC.Doval, P14110
    Spencer Bivens logoRS.Bivens, P25220
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Mike Yastrzemski logo1M.Yastrzemski, RF2-4002
    Willy Adames logo2W.Adames, SS1-5101
    Jung Hoo Lee logo3J.Lee, CF2-5202
    Matt Chapman logo4M.Chapman, 3B2-4100
    Christian Koss logo4C.Koss, 3B0-0000
    Heliot Ramos logo5H.Ramos, LF1-4200
    LaMonte Wade logo6L.Wade, 1B0-3100
    Wilmer Flores logo7W.Flores, DH1-4102
    Patrick Bailey logo8P.Bailey, C1-4102
    Tyler Fitzgerald logo9T.Fitzgerald, 2B3-5201
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Aaron Nola logoRA.Nola, P995.186
    Jose Ruiz logoRJ.Ruiz, P90.200
    Joe Ross logoRJ.Ross, P26114
    Carlos Hernandez logoRC.Hernandez, P41210
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Trea Turner logo1T.Turner, SS1-5100
    Bryce Harper logo2B.Harper, 1B2-3212
    Kyle Schwarber logo3K.Schwarber, LF1-4000
    Nick Castellanos logo4N.Castellanos, RF1-4000
    J.T. Realmuto logo5J.Realmuto, DH0-4001
    Alec Bohm logo6A.Bohm, 3B1-4000
    Edmundo Sosa logo7E.Sosa, 2B0-2001
    Kody Clemens logo7K.Clemens, PH0-1000
    Kody Clemens logo7K.Clemens, 2B0-1000
    Rafael Marchan logo8R.Marchan, C0-4000
    Johan Rojas logo9J.Rojas, CF1-2100
    Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, PH0-2000
    Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, CF0-2000

    Giants vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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    Giants at Phillies Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Giants
    72-69
    o3.5-117
    u3.5-110
    Phillies
    82-59
    o4.5+109
    u4.5-140