Giants vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Giants at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

San Francisco Giants

0-0

3 - 7

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.58	7-9
L.Webb			3.25	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	+1.5-192	o7.5-110	+110
White Sox 0-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-110	-134

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

CWS -134

0.75u

Over 7.5-106

0.94u

SF +112

CWS -140

I like F5 better but already playing game

CWS -140

0.5u

CWS -130 (F5)

0.5u

D.Cease o7.5 Ks+100

0.25u

SF +114

0.5u

Keeping units low here until I have a larger sample on whether my MLB moneyline is performing well. Available at FanDuel. I love Dylan Cease, but this is largely a bet on Logan Webb. Webb was lights out in his 2023 debut and now faces an active roster with a 97 wRC+ against righties since the start of last year. It's a mighty fine matchup for him. I've got the Giants' win odds at 50.3%, up from 46.7% implied. Given how well Webb pitched, I'm more than okay with that.

D.Cease o7.5 Ks-126

This Giants team profiles to strikeout a lot, again, as they have been so far early this season. Last season, they struggled vs power pitchers and away from home. They get both against Cease who looked fantastic vs the Astros with 10 Ks on 85 pitches. Cease was electric at home last season and I expect the same in his first home start this year. 10/18 clearing this line at home last season, including 8 of his first 10 starts. Not a ton of experience vs this Giants lineup, which should play to his advantage.

CWS -130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -133

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 5, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The White Sox are 41-67 (.380) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Giants are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 31-18 (.633) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .545.

The White Sox are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Wilmer Flores slugged just .253 over the last 30 days -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Dylan Cease allowed a SLG of just .183 vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) in 2022 -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (326/567) against Logan Webb since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease in 2022 -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	SF	L 3-12	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -140
Apr 2nd	@HOU	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS +122
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +117
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8	HOU +130
Mar 30th	@HOU	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CWS +117

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P	81	5	4	4
RS.Hjelle, P	53	1.2	2	0
LS.Alexander, P	5	0.1	1	0
RT.Rogers, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
1W.Flores, PH	1-2	1	0	0
1W.Flores, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
2M.Conforto, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3D.Villar, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Pederson, DH	1-5	0	0	2
5M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, LF	0-5	0	0	0
6J.Davis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Sabol, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Johnson, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8B.Johnson, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9R. Pérez, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	99	5	8	1
LJ.Diekman, P	8	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Lopez, P	11	0.1	1	0
RJ.Lambert, P	23	1	1	0
RJ.Kelly, P	23	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	0-2	0	0
1H. Alberto, 2B	1-3	1	1
2L.Robert, CF	3-4	2	1
3A.Benintendi, LF	2-4	2	0
4Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	0	1
5A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	1
6G.Sheets, DH	2-4	0	3
7Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0
8O.Colas, RF	1-4	1	0
9E. Andrus, 2B	1-4	1	0
9E. Andrus, SS	1-4	1	0