Guardians vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2025

Guardians at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

10 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Mlodzinski			3.55	5-8
L.Ortiz			4.37	4-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	-1.5	-1.5+129	o9+100	-130
Pirates 0-0	u8.5	+1.5-158	u9-120	+110

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 18, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

L.Ortiz o4.5 Ks-118

Proj closer to -155 and his Priority Score jumped up to +17.1 after the official lineup came out + odds dipped below -120

O.Cruz o0.5 RBI+175

0.88u

Over 8.5-128

0.39u

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+120

1.2u

Over 8.5-113

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+450

2.25u

C.Mlodzinski o3.5 Ks-134

PIT +120

0.5u

Bet to +115

CLE -115

0.87u

Pirates offense is frozen – hitting .196 on the season, worst in MLB. Just 3.38 R/9, .265 OBP vs RHP. CLE’s arms keeping teams to .242 AVG, bullpen sits at 3.12 ERA. Guardians don’t smash but produce – 1.2 HR/game, 3.99 R/9. They put the ball in play and pressure weak pens like PIT’s. Luis Ortiz hittable – 6.06 ERA, 1.41 WHIP in 16.1 IP. Walks 2.3/gm, not missing bats. CLE batting .270 vs RHP over last 5 games, trending up. Bullpen mismatch – Guardians have 4 arms under 1.00 WHIP, PIT middle relief shaky. Guardians on a heater – 6-2 last 8 overall. Pirates struggling vs AL at home – lost 8 of last 10. CLE 10-1 last 11 in PIT. Better pen, better form, more balanced. CLE can edge this out behind steadier arms and contact bats.

CLE -122

Under 8.5+100

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

Over 8.5-110

4 Home Run Prop Bets for Friday Night
Grant Neiffer•
Apr 18, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	WSH	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -151
Apr 16th	WSH	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -121
Apr 15th	WSH	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -123
Apr 14th	WSH	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT -205
Apr 13th	@CIN	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CIN +154

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	92	5	8	2
RC.Smith, P	15	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	11	0.2	2	1
RJ.Junis, P	19	1.1	1	2
RP.Sewald, P	20	0.2	0	2
RE.Clase, P	9	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	2-5	2	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4K.Manzardo, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5C.Santana, 1B	1-4	2	0	1
6N.Jones, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Noel, PH	1-3	1	0	2
6J.Noel, RF	1-3	1	0	2
7G.Arias, SS	2-5	2	0	2
7G.Arias, 2B	2-5	2	0	2
8B.Naylor, C	3-5	1	1	3
9A.Martinez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-0	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mlodzinski, P	64	4	0	5
LJ.Wentz, P	34	2	2	0
RK.Nicolas, P	26	0.1	1	5
LT.Mayza, P	33	1.2	1	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-4	2	1	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	3-5	1	1	2
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	2	0	0
4E.Valdez, 1B	2-4	1	1	3
5J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	1
6J.Suwinski, LF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-4	1	0	0