Guardians vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2025

Guardians at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT
10 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Carmen Mlodzinski logoC.MlodzinskiPittsburgh Pirates logo7.411-3
Luis L. Ortiz logoL.OrtizCleveland Guardians logo5.482-2

Guardians at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
9-9
-1.5
-1.5+129
o9+100
-130
Pirates
8-12
u8.5
+1.5-158
u9-120
+110
location pinFriday 10:40 p.m.
April 18, 2025
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Guardians vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 38-39-0 (+0.5u)
L.Ortiz o4.5 Ks-118
1u
Proj closer to -155 and his Priority Score jumped up to +17.1 after the official lineup came out + odds dipped below -120
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 86-124-3 (-14.2u)
O.Cruz o0.5 RBI+175
0.88u
Over 8.5-128
0.39u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 185-197-2 (-10.7u)
O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+120
1.2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 196-205-5 (+5.8u)
Over 8.5-113
1u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 31-86-5 (+15.5u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+450
2.25u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 167-176-19 (-1.3u)
PIT +120
0.5u
Bet to +115
Picks  Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 93-70-3 (+19.5u)
CLE -115
0.87u
Pirates offense is frozen – hitting .196 on the season, worst in MLB. Just 3.38 R/9, .265 OBP vs RHP. CLE’s arms keeping teams to .242 AVG, bullpen sits at 3.12 ERA. Guardians don’t smash but produce – 1.2 HR/game, 3.99 R/9. They put the ball in play and pressure weak pens like PIT’s. Luis Ortiz hittable – 6.06 ERA, 1.41 WHIP in 16.1 IP. Walks 2.3/gm, not missing bats. CLE batting .270 vs RHP over last 5 games, trending up. Bullpen mismatch – Guardians have 4 arms under 1.00 WHIP, PIT middle relief shaky. Guardians on a heater – 6-2 last 8 overall. Pirates struggling vs AL at home – lost 8 of last 10. CLE 10-1 last 11 in PIT. Better pen, better form, more balanced. CLE can edge this out behind steadier arms and contact bats.
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 113-80-12 (+28.3u)
CLE -122
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 98-105-3 (-5.6u)
Under 4.5 (F5)+100
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 113-80-12 (+28.3u)
Over 8.5-110
1u

Guardians vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • 4 Home Run Prop Bets for Friday Night article feature image

    4 Home Run Prop Bets for Friday Night

    Grant Neiffer
    Apr 18, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Guardians vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Guardians

Public

73%

Bets%

27%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
7-145-62-83-64-8
Guardians
8-113-35-85-33-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
9-11-17-42-7-14-55-6-1
Guardians
9-8-22-47-4-25-34-4-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
8-136-52-85-43-9
Guardians
10-95-15-87-13-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 17thWSHW 1-0-1.5 LU 8PIT -151
Apr 16thWSHW 6-1+1.5 WU 8.5PIT -121
Apr 15thWSHL 0-3-1.5 LU 8.5WSH -123
Apr 14thWSHW 10-3-1.5 WO 7.5PIT -205
Apr 13th@CINL 0-4+1.5 LU 7.5CIN +154

Guardians vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Shane Bieber
    P

    Bieber is out with elbow

    Out

  • Slade Cecconi
    P

    Cecconi is out with oblique

    Out

  • John Means
    P

    Means is out with elbow

    Out

  • David Fry
    C

    Fry is out with elbow

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Johan Oviedo
    P

    Oviedo is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Jared Jones
    P

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jared Triolo
    IF

    Triolo is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Spencer Horwitz
    IF

    Horwitz is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

Guardians vs. Pirates Box Score
Guardians Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Luis L. Ortiz logoRL.Ortiz, P92582
Cade Smith logoRC.Smith, P15110
Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P110.221
Jakob Junis logoRJ.Junis, P191.112
Paul Sewald logoRP.Sewald, P200.202
Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P90.110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF2-4000
Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, CF2-5200
Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B2-4200
Kyle Manzardo logo4K.Manzardo, DH1-4001
Carlos Santana logo5C.Santana, 1B1-4201
Nolan Jones logo6N.Jones, RF0-2000
Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, PH1-3102
Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, RF1-3102
Gabriel Arias logo7G.Arias, SS2-5202
Gabriel Arias logo7G.Arias, 2B2-5202
Bo Naylor logo8B.Naylor, C3-5113
Angel Martinez logo9A.Martinez, 2B0-3000
Brayan Rocchio logo9B.Rocchio, SS0-0001
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Carmen Mlodzinski logoRC.Mlodzinski, P64405
Joey Wentz logoLJ.Wentz, P34220
Kyle Nicolas logoRK.Nicolas, P260.115
Tim Mayza logoLT.Mayza, P331.210
Justin Lawrence logoRJ.Lawrence, P15120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF1-4211
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, RF3-5112
Andrew McCutchen logo3A.McCutchen, DH1-4200
Enmanuel Valdez logo4E.Valdez, 1B2-4113
Joey Bart logo5J.Bart, C1-3001
Jack Suwinski logo6J.Suwinski, LF0-5000
Jared Triolo logo7J.Triolo, 3B1-4000
Adam Frazier logo8A.Frazier, 2B1-4000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-4100

Guardians vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Guardians at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Guardians
9-9
N/A
N/A
Pirates
8-12
N/A
N/A