Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2026

Mariners at Astros

6:10 pm • SCHN
8 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Mike Burrows logoM.BurrowsHouston Astros logo5.994-9
Luis Castillo logoL.CastilloSeattle Mariners logo4.853-9

Mariners at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
52-54
+1.5
-1.5+140
o9-110
-115
Astros
52-55
u9.5
+1.5-170
u9-111
-105
location pinThursday 6:10 p.m.
May 14, 2026
Daikin ParkHouston
Mariners vs. Astros Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 124-119-7 (-9.3u)
HOU +105
1u
Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy This is a Castillo fade more than a Houston form bet. Castillo is 0-4 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.617 WHIP through 8 starts. Houston only needs Burrows to be the less messy starter at home, and +105 prices in the ugly record.
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 45-42-0 (+6.1u)
Over 9-105
1u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 26-19-2 (+23.9u)
L.Castillo o5.5 Ks+123
1.23u
There is a value opportunity on Luis Castillo's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting 6.03 strikeouts for him with a 56% chance that he records at least 6 strikeouts. If you can get the over at +123 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least -105. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 182-174-4 (-10.1u)
HOU o4.5+122
1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 207-305-16 (-83.2u)
J.Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases-108
$1.08
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 14-79-5 (-4.6u)
J.Rodriguez o0.5 HR+440
0.25u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 207-305-16 (-83.2u)
Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases-120
$1.00
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 49-66-1 (-47.6u)
HOU +120
3u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 114-138-10 (-11.2u)
HOU +110
0.5u
Bet to -105
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Arozarena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-113
1.13u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 323-378-8 (-55.1u)
Under 5 (F5)-118
1.18u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 79-89-2 (-9.2u)
HOU +113
0.5u
(DK) Thurday's slate breakdown (Wouldn't play much lower)

Mariners vs. Astros Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mariners

Public

57%

Bets%

43%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
52-5525-2827-2713-2337-29
Mariners
39-6721-3218-3533-574-10

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
54-47-628-23-226-24-420-15-133-28-5
Mariners
51-49-624-26-327-23-343-42-58-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
52-5526-2726-2816-2034-32
Mariners
52-5430-2322-3146-444-10

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 14thSEAW 4-3+1.5 WU 9HOU +118
May 13thSEAL 2-10+1.5 LO 9SEA +169
May 12thSEAL 1-3+1.5 LU 8.5SEA +130
May 10th@CINL 0-5-U 9.5CIN -108
May 9th@CINL 1-3+1.5 LU 8.5CIN +135
Mariners vs. Astros Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Luis Castillo logoRL.Castillo, P1085.263
Nick Davila logoRN.Davila, P251.100
Domingo Gonzalez logoRD.Gonzalez, P35220
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brendan Donovan logo1B.Donovan, 3B3-5100
Julio Rodriguez logo2J.Rodriguez, DH0-5000
Josh Naylor logo3J.Naylor, 1B1-4000
Randy Arozarena logo4R.Arozarena, LF0-3100
Luke Raley logo5L.Raley, CF2-5213
J.P. Crawford logo6J.Crawford, SS2-5101
Dominic Canzone logo7D.Canzone, RF1-4100
Mitch Garver logo8M.Garver, C1-3212
Cole Young logo9C.Young, 2B1-3002
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Mike Burrows logoRM.Burrows, P1025.247
Cody Bolton logoRC.Bolton, P563.121
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Zach Cole logo1Z.Cole, LF0-5000
Jose Altuve logo2J.Altuve, 2B0-4000
Yordan Alvarez logo3Y.Alvarez, DH3-3211
Isaac Paredes logo4I.Paredes, 3B0-3000
Christian Walker logo5C.Walker, 1B0-3100
Braden Shewmake logo6B.Shewmake, SS2-4002
Brice Matthews logo7B.Matthews, CF0-4000
Cam Smith logo8C.Smith, RF0-4000
Cesar Salazar logo9C.Salazar, C0-2000

Mariners vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Mariners at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mariners
52-54
N/A
N/A
Astros
52-55
N/A
N/A