Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 14, 2024

Marlins at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Miami Marlins

6-9

5 - 9

Philadelphia Phillies

9-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Phillips			6.87	4-1
E.Cabrera			4.95	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-9	+1.5-143	o8.5-115	+143
Phillies 9-8	-1.5+120	u8.5-105	-170

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 14, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+145

1.45u

B.Harper o3.5 Total Bases+400

E.Cabrera o5.5 Ks-128

1.5u

MIA +143

PHI -165

0.61u

E.Cabrera o5.5 Ks-115

1.15u

Over in 7/12 games. The strikeout stuff is never a question with him - he’s consistently in the top 70-85th percentile of K and whiff rates. It’s the location-related implosions. But… he’s coming off two straight stellar starts, and a four straight outings with at least 5 IP. This Phillies right now are a sneaky decent opponent. Over the L30 days vs righties, they’re at a 77 wRC+ (29th), .639 OPS (28th), and 22.3% K% (17th) - the latter I’m less concerned about because Cabrera is an outlier type K pitcher. Plus, the Phillies with the sixth highest chase rate the L30 days.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored first in just 43% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	MIA	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -205
Aug 11th	@ARI	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -130
Aug 11th	@ARI	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -101
Aug 10th	@ARI	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ARI -135
Aug 9th	@ARI	W 6-4	+1.5 W	U 10.5	PHI +110

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	82	4	2	6
LK.Emanuel, P	34	2.1	2	0
RD.Cronin, P	21	0.2	0	3
RB.de Geus, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2J.Burger, DH	2-4	2	0	0
3J.Sanchez, RF	2-5	1	0	1
4J.Bride, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
5K.Stowers, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
7D.Hill, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Sanchez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Hensley, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Pereda, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Phillips, P	87	4.1	4	5
RJ.Ruiz, P	7	0.2	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	18	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	1	1	4
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	2-3	2	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	2-3	1	0	2
7E.Sosa, SS	0-4	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	2	0	0