Marlins vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2025

Marlins at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Miami Marlins

6-3

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

6-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.18	6-15
S.Alcantara			5.36	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-3	-1.5	+1.5-170	o8-110	+124
Pirates 6-3	u8	-1.5+143	u8-110	-150

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 10, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -145

M.Keller u2.5 Earned Runs-130

0.5u

Projections do have Keller closer to 3 earned runs so this is a rare time I’m going to dive into a bet without projections on my side. The Marlins’ implied run total dropped from 4 to 3.8 after the lineup was released without Connor Norby and Liam Hicks in there. Miami has averaged 4.05 runs per game this season so I’m going to target them given they are projected below their season average. Keller is coming off two poor performances but still holds a 4.13 ERA and 3.93 xERA. He has a long leash which actually isn’t ideal as they let him work through trouble, but he’s holding a career-low walk rate (6.2%) and HR/9 ratio (0.59), which I like. Going to bank on him keeping Miami off the board enough in this matchup.

PIT -150

0.75u

PIT -147

1.47u

Under 8.5-122

0.5u

Pitcher leaning umpire - Keller all estimators below 4.13 ERA - PIT 87/87/90 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, MIA 96/96/75 - PIT strong defense - MIA 3rd best team bullpen estimators L30 days, PIT top half of league too. Keller 65 points split, but MIA only sending two LHBs out against him.

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+440

$2.20

PIT -134

1.5u

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+440

1.1u

S.Alcantara o2.5 BB+220

0.25u

PIT o4.5+115

0.5u

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

PIT o4.5+115

MIA +115 (F5)

MIA +120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

DK line, wouldn't take anywhere else. Don't love trusting Sandy right now but this is a good price on two very bad offenses

MIA +115 (F5)

1.15u

Under 8.5-120

0.5u

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks-112

S.Alcantara o1.5 BB-150

1.25u

May add ladder when those lines drop

MIA +118

3.54u

4 Home Run Prop Bets & Parlay for Tuesday
Grant Neiffer•
Jun 10, 2025 UTC
2 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Tuesday
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Jun 10, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	6-3	3-0	3-3	4-0	2-3
Marlins	3-6	2-4	1-2	2-4	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	5-4	2-1	3-3	3-1	2-3
Marlins	6-3	3-3	3-0	3-3	3-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	6-3	3-0	3-3	4-0	2-3
Marlins	6-3	5-1	1-2	5-1	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	MIA	W 10-3	-	O 8	PIT +100
Jun 8th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 6.5	PIT -120
Jun 7th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +121
Jun 6th	PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +110
Jun 5th	HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU +120

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Chris Paddack
SP
Chris Paddack has been scratched Sunday. Pete Fairbanks will start for the Marlins
Out
Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	85	6	6	0
RA.Bender, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	19	1	1	2
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Wagaman, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
7D.Myers, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-4	1	1	2
9J.Sanoja, 3B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	97	6	4	3
LR.Borucki, P	8	1	0	0
RI.Mattson, P	21	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Horwitz, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Triolo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7H.Davis, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	0	0	0