Marlins vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2025

A. Abbott ⬇️ 2.5 ER's (-120 @ DraftKings)(CIN) We'll start from a +EV angle. Here is this under on sharper books: Caesars: -160 Pinnacle: -173 Nice to kick off with 40+ points of value. MIA's offense has actually been pretty good lately, but not necessarily against LHP. They rank just 20th in OPS vs LHP over the last 30 days. Here are the last 10 lefty starters they have faced and their stat line: Rodriguez: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 4 HA, 6 K's Sanchez: 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 HA, 4 K's Suarez: 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 HA, 8 K's Luzardo: 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 HA, 4 K's Gore: 6 IP, 2 ER, 8 HA, 5 K's Parker: 3.1 IP, 6 ER, 8 HA, 3 K's Falter: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 HA, 3 K's Freeland: 6.1 IP, 0 ER, 4 HA, 4 K's Ray: 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 HA, 9 K's Harrison: 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 HA, 5 K's So 8 of the last 10 lefties have finished under this mark. He was also snubbed from the AS roster, despite having a 7-1 record, 2.15 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The underlying numbers look great too. A lot to like here for Abbott, who has been under this mark in 12 of 15 starts this season and 7 of 8 at home.

Shaky Favorites, Silent Scores Overall: 501-345-37,59% (ROI:14%) Season:8-7-0,53% (ROI:2%) Ace, Atmosphere Overall: 367-233-24,61% (ROI:18%) Season:12-8-0,60% (ROI:14%)

Taken on Novig for best price (Use Code "CEEJ" on your 1st deposit to get free money) Abbott is under this line in 12/15 games this season, and while the Marlins have been a hot road team, they have struggled vs LHP. The Marlins are striking out at the 4th highest rate to LHP over the last 15 days. In that same time frame, they rank in the bottom 5 in wRC+ and wOBA vs LHP. Abbott has been great this year and even better at home, going under this line in 7/8 at home this season. Abbott has had just 3 bad starts where he allowed 4,5,4 ER, and each time he bounced back in the next game, allowing 0 ER. I expect him to bounce back again today after allowing 4 to the Phillies on the road in his last start.