Mets vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 14, 2024

Mets at Dodgers

12:15 am • FOX

New York Mets

2-4

0 - 9

Los Angeles Dodgers

4-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Flaherty			7.36	1-2
K.Senga			12.60	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 2-4	+1.5	+1.5-157	o8-103	+136
Dodgers 4-2	u7.5	-1.5+131	u8-116	-162

Monday 12:15 a.m.

October 14, 2024

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

NYM +136

Under 8-105

1.05u

NYM +135

Over 8-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Kodai Senga's reduced fastball velocity and early exits raise concerns about his postseason durability, exposing the Mets' shaky bullpen. New York’s bullpen struggles with control and Location+ metrics, worsening playoff performance. Meanwhile, their offense, led by Vientos, thrives in clutch moments, particularly against right-handed pitchers like Los Angeles Dodgers starter Jack Flaherty, whose declining velocity and form make him vulnerable.

LAD -1.5+120

1.2u

K.Hernandez o0.5 Total Bases-125

0.8u

LAD -153

1.31u

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

M.Betts o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

NYM +135

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-112

Lost on this 3 straight games. Why not a 4th?

LAD -160

1.25u

Dodgers have dominated the Mets this season both at home and away (4W-1L).

J.Flaherty o15.5 Outs-125

With the state of their rotation, the Dodgers will give Flaherty a bit of a leash in this one, especially with this series being 7 games.

NYM +140

K.Senga o2.5 Ks-106

0.11u

K.Senga o2.5 Hits Allowed+120

0.1u

J.Flaherty o1.5 BB-150

0.1u

K.Senga o0.5 Earned Runs-166

0.1u

NYM +142

0.5u

Bet to +135 (projected +129). Same price target whether its Senga or Manaea G1 for Mets Series projection is Dodgers -150; Mets +150 best available out there a break even price so will play this game by game for now

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The Dodgers are 96-53 (.644) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Teoscar Hernandez struck out in 28% of PA's in the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Edwin Diaz had a strikeout rate of 50% in the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	11-5	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Mets	7-6	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 12th	SD	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	LAD -155
Oct 10th	@SD	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +114
Oct 9th	@SD	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SD +122
Oct 7th	SD	L 2-10	-1.5 L	O 8	SD -155
Oct 6th	SD	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	LAD -142

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out
Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	30	1.1	0	3
RR.Garrett, P	15	1.1	2	0
LD.Peterson, P	40	2.1	2	2
LD.Young, P	18	1.1	0	0
RJ.Butto, P	43	1.2	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3L.Acuna, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Winker, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Flaherty, P	98	7	6
RD.Hudson, P	20	1	1
RB.Casparius, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	2-4	2	1
2M.Betts, RF	1-4	1	3
3F.Freeman, 1B	2-3	1	1
3C.Taylor, 2B	0-1	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	0-3	0	0
4A.Pages, LF	0-0	0	0
5W.Smith, C	0-3	0	0
6M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	0	2
6M.Muncy, 1B	1-4	0	2
7E.Hernandez, CF	2-4	2	0
7E.Hernandez, 2B	2-4	2	0
7E.Hernandez, 3B	2-4	2	0
8G.Lux, 2B	0-1	1	0
8K.Kiermaier, CF	0-1	1	0
9T.Edman, SS	1-3	1	1