Mets vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2026

Mets at Nationals

8:05 pm • NATS
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Cade Cavalli logoC.CavalliWashington Nationals logo4.052-2
David Peterson logoD.PetersonNew York Mets logo5.402-4

Mets at Nationals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets
21-28
-1.5
-1.5+145
o7.5-123
-113
Nationals
25-25
u9.5
+1.5-175
u7.5-102
-105
location pinThursday 8:05 p.m.
May 21, 2026
Nationals ParkWashington
thermometer image68°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image11Wind
Mets vs. Nationals Expert Picks
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 45-44-2 (+0.3u)
D.Peterson u4.5 Ks-113
0.57u
Proj closer to -145
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 99-102-3 (-3.7u)
J.Soto o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-122
1.22u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 359-361-13 (+60.8u)
J.Soto o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
$1.30
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 264-274-11 (-2.4u)
C.Cavalli o4.5 Ks-135
1.35u
Under 8-114
1.14u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 94-81-0 (+70.0u)
J.Soto o0.5 HR+424
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 264-274-11 (-2.4u)
C.Cavalli o4.5 Ks-135
1u
Alex Hinton
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 76-120-2 (-12.6u)
D.Peterson o2.5 Earned Runs+116
0.5u
J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+135
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 167-175-12 (-18.1u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
1u
Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Mets-Nationals has recent scoring noise, but 4.5 in the first five is a real number. New York is still missing several key bats, and Washington has softer lower-order production behind Wood and Abrams. F5 Under 4.5 is a bet against another instant blowup, not a bet that the full game stays quiet.
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 187-147-2 (+17.5u)
C.Cavalli o4.5 Ks-120
0.6u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 359-361-13 (+60.8u)
J.Wood o1.5 Total Bases+140
$1.00
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 172-146-12 (+4.5u)
Under 8.5-110
0.55u
Bet to 8 (+100)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 187-147-2 (+17.5u)
Under 8.5-125
0.63u

Mets vs. Nationals Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mets vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mets

Public

45%

Bets%

55%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nationals
29-2111-1418-71-128-20
Mets
20-299-1511-1414-226-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nationals
32-15-317-6-215-9-12-030-15-3
Mets
21-25-312-9-39-1617-17-24-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nationals
25-2510-1515-101-124-24
Mets
21-2811-1310-1516-205-8

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 20thNYMW 8-4+1.5 WO 9.5WSH +107
May 19thNYMW 9-6+1.5 WO 9WSH +119
May 18thNYML 7-16+1.5 LO 10NYM +106
May 17thBALL 3-7+1.5 LU 10BAL +101
May 16thBALW 13-3+1.5 WO 10WSH -109

Mets vs. Nationals Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Francisco Lindor
    SS

    Lindor is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Hagenman
    SP

    Hagenman is out with ribs

    Out

Nationals Injuries

  • Trevor Williams
    SP

    Williams is out with elbow

    Out

  • Josiah Gray
    SP

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • DJ Herz
    SP

    Herz is out with elbow

    Out

Mets vs. Nationals Starting Lineups
Mets Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
David Peterson logoLD.Peterson, P2-45.401.5699.55
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Carson Benge logo1C.Benge, RF.264.320.3653
Bo Bichette logo2B.Bichette, SS.225.276.3305
Juan Soto logo3J.Soto, LF.299.392.5599
Mark Vientos logo4M.Vientos, 1B.240.277.4186
Brett Baty logo5B.Baty, 3B.233.305.3563
Marcus Semien logo6M.Semien, 2B.225.277.3153
A.J. Ewing logo7A.Ewing, CF.296.441.4811
MJ Melendez logo8M.Melendez, DH.226.324.4032
Luis Torrens logo9L.Torrens, C.191.247.2790
Nationals Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Cade Cavalli logoRC.Cavalli, P2-24.051.54310.03
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
James Wood logo1J.Wood, LF.254.392.52313
Curtis Mead logo2C.Mead, 3B.235.364.4394
Andres Chaparro logo3A.Chaparro, 1B.200.333.3000
C.J. Abrams logo4C.Abrams, SS.300.389.53910
Dylan Crews logo5D.Crews, RF.250.250.2500
Daylen Lile logo6D.Lile, DH.264.321.4377
Jacob Young logo7J.Young, CF.231.285.3816
Nasim Nunez logo8N.Nunez, 2B.193.305.2140
Keibert Ruiz logo9K.Ruiz, C.250.268.5004

Mets vs. Nationals Odds Comparison

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Mets at Nationals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mets
21-28
N/A
N/A
Nationals
25-25
N/A
N/A