Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

4-6

3 - 5

Boston Red Sox

2-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 4-6	+1.5-180	o9.5-110	+116
Red Sox 2-8	-1.5+150	u9.5-113	-136

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -132 (Live)

0.76u

BOS -136

Over 9-114

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 905-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:44-39-3,53% (ROI:3%)

BOS -136

$551.47

Over 9-120

BAL +122

Over 9-120

1.8u

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-140

$1.40

J.Duran o0.5 Doubles+220

$0.50

N.Pivetta o5.5 Ks-109

0.5u

BOS -124 (F5)

0.4u

Flat to -135

BOS -126 (F5)

Kremer 4.44 SIERA/4.68 xERA, Pivetta 3.34/3.75, same Barrels/BBE, but Pivetta K-BB% more than 10 points better.

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .270 with RISP since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .281 (369-for-1,315) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .811 over the last week -- third best in MLB. Orioles RPs have allowed an OPS of .826 (89 PAs) over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC
+435 SGP for Orioles vs Red Sox
Sean Paul•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Gunnar Henderson is batting .300 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Nick Pivetta has thrown a breaking pitch 47% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (second worst)-- second Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)-- 90th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .775 (293 Total Bases / 378 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .573 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 1-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	2-8	1-3	1-5	2-6	0-2
Orioles	2-8	2-4	0-4	2-5	0-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	6-4	2-2	4-2	4-4	2-0
Orioles	5-5	3-3	2-2	3-4	2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	2-8	1-3	1-5	2-6	0-2
Orioles	4-6	3-3	1-3	4-3	0-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -138
Sep 9th	BAL	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -125
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	103	7	7	1
LC.Perez, P	14	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	2	0.1	0	0
RS.Dominguez, P	17	1	2	0
LK.Akin, P	7	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	2-4	0	0	0
7A.Slater, RF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	94	6	9	1
RC.Martin, P	18	1	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	9	1	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	11	1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	2	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	2	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Valdez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	0-0	0	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8T.Story, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0	1