Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

9-12

5 - 3

Boston Red Sox

12-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 9-12	+1.5-180	o9.5+100	+117
Red Sox 12-11	-1.5+150	u9.5-118	-138

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

September 10, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 9-115

1.15u

A.Santander o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases-120

1.2u

Free Play⚡️

Under 9+105

0.53u

Bet to -104

A.Suarez u2.5 BB-165

0.61u

Fliff

A.Suarez o15.5 Outs+120

2.4u

🔑 A. Suarez o15.5 outs +120 (DraftKings) 2u He’s hit this over 4/L5 starts, and my model has this at a 62% expected win probability. Great value here for a pitcher who has been on fire

BAL o1.5 Team Total (F5)-154

0.65u

@jakemlb

BOS -108

0.54u

Bet to -110

BOS -115 (F5)

0.29u

Small to -120

Over 9-120

Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .755 this season -- fourth best in MLB. Red Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .740 (2,336 PAs) this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Masataka Yoshida has struck out in just 11% of PA's over the last two weeks -- tied for 13th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Albert Suarez has a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last two weeks -- eighth lowest among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .542 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (55/167) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.485 (97 PA's) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.036 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-11	4-5	7-6	7-8	4-3
Orioles	8-12	4-6	4-6	4-7	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	8-13-1	3-5-1	5-8	4-10-1	4-3
Orioles	12-5-3	7-1-2	5-4-1	8-1-2	4-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	12-10	6-3	6-7	9-6	3-4
Orioles	9-11	5-5	4-6	5-6	4-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	BAL	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -125
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285
Sep 4th	@NYM	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +100

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Suarez, P	101	6	8	1
LC.Perez, P	20	1.1	1	1
RY.Cano, P	15	0.2	2	1
RS.Dominguez, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	2	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	2-4	2	2	3
3A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, DH	1-5	0	0	2
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Mayo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	89	6.1	6	3
LB.Bernardino, P	9	0.1	0	2
RL.Guerrero, P	20	1.1	2	0
RZ.Kelly, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-3	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	0-1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	1	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	1
6C.Wong, C	2-4	1	0
7T.Casas, 1B	1-4	0	1
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-1	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, 2B	0-2	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	0	0