Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2026

Padres at Diamondbacks

8:05 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

31-22

7 - 12

Arizona Diamondbacks

29-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			4.65	2-3
M.King			2.76	4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 31-22	-1.5	-1.5+104	o14.5-113	-135
Diamondbacks 29-24	u15.5	+1.5-125	u14.5-109	+114

Sunday 8:05 p.m.

April 26, 2026

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu

ARI +114 (Live)

1.14u

Under 8.5 (F5)-125

0.5u

M.King u3.5 Ks-108

1.08u

There is a value opportunity on Michael King's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 3.13 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 3.64. The model believes there is a 63% chance he records fewer than 4 strikeouts, so there is value on the under at -108. This play is good down to at least -133. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

Over 15-105

SD o8.5+125

0.75u

F.Tatis o0.5 HR+220

$1.00

SD -125

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ARI +125

3.75u

Over 15-115

Under 15.5-115

0.58u

A.Del Castillo o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

There may be some value on Adrian Del Castillo's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.26 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.19. The model believes there is a 22% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +500. This play is good down to at least +399. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

Padres vs Diamondbacks: Plus-Money Prop Pick
Action Network Staff•
Apr 26, 2026 UTC
MLB Best Bets for Sunday
Action Network Staff•
Apr 26, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Diamondbacks' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	31-21	17-11	14-10	14-10	16-11
Padres	30-22	17-12	13-10	14-13	16-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	26-24-2	12-15-1	14-9-1	10-13-1	15-11-1
Padres	22-29-1	12-16-1	10-13	10-16-1	12-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	28-24	18-10	10-14	16-8	11-16
Padres	31-21	16-13	15-8	16-11	15-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	SD	L 4-6	+1.5 L	U 16	SD -113
Apr 23rd	CWS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -149
Apr 23rd	CWS	W 11-7	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -154
Apr 22nd	CWS	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9	CWS -144
Apr 19th	TOR	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 8	TOR -101

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	106	6	8	2
RD.Morgan, P	10	0.1	0	4
RB.Rodriguez, P	20	0.2	0	2
RR.Marinaccio, P	24	0.1	0	4
LW.Peralta, P	16	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Laureano, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	2	0	0
3J.Merrill, CF	2-5	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	2-5	2	2	5
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6G.Sheets, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Andujar, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	2-4	1	1	2
8S.Song, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	93	5	4	6
RK.Ginkel, P	10	1	0	1
RR.Thompson, P	6	1	0	0
RJ.Morillo, P	21	1	2	0
RJ.Loaisiga, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Vargas, 2B	3-5	3	1	4
2K.Marte, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4L.Gurriel, LF	2-4	0	0	2
4J.Barrosa, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Barrosa, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Del Castillo, C	0-1	0	0	0
5J.McCann, C	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Fernandez, SS	3-4	3	1	1
7N.Arenado, 3B	2-3	2	0	0
8A.Thomas, CF	2-4	2	0	0
9T.Tawa, 1B	1-4	1	1	4