Padres vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024
Padres at Rays
10:50 pm • Apple TV+Starting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
T.Bradley | 4.11 | 8-11 | ||
M.Perez | 5.21 | 2-5 |
Padres at Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | +1.5-205 | o7.5-108 | +105 | |
Rays 0-0 | -1.5+170 | u7.5-112 | -125 |
Friday 10:50 p.m.
August 30, 2024Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Padres vs. Rays Expert Picks
Picks Office
114d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
Under 7.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both of these teams are struggling offensively at the moment. The Rays have hit for just a .187 average in their last 10 games and the Padres managed only three hits against the Cardinals on Wednesday. With those things in mind, this game figures to be low-scoring.
Against the Padres will be left-hander Martin Perez, who has been magnificent since joining San Diego, compiling a 2.70 ERA in his last five starts. While his season ERA of 4.60 might suggest some vulnerability, that recent run would suggest he should be well-equipped to keep the slumping lineup of the Rays at bay. The Tampa Bay offense rests near the bottom of league rankings in critical categories such as batting average (.230) and OPS (.673), which should rest well with Perez.
On the other side, Taj Bradley has struggled a bit of late but has shown he can dominate with a 3.77 ERA on the season. His 85th-percentile fastball velocity and strong 79th-percentile whiff rate indicate that he is capable of shutting down San Diego's offense rather handily, which has been inconsistent and mediocre against right-handed pitching. Bradley's ability to induce weak contact, as evidenced by his barrel rate in the 8th percentile, further strengthens the case for a low-scorer.
That said, both teams boast extremely powerful bullpens, with the Padres' relievers combining for a 2.44 ERA while Tampa Bay's bullpen comes in at 3.01. Considering relief for starters is somewhat volatile in its own ways here, it should be a case that the bullpens see a decent amount of time in this contest to further depress the overall run production. The venue, Tropicana Field, also leans more for hurlers traditionally producing low-run outcomes. Recent trends also suggest a lean to the Under with Tampa Bay having seen the total go under in 17 of their last 25 games and 11 of their last 17 home games. San Diego has also been part of several low-scoring interleague games when they are an underdog as they will be in today's matchup.
The Degenerates
114d ago
Last 30d: 98-75-4 (+21.3u)
SD +112
1.12u
JB Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 37-13-0 (+18.2u)
SD +110
1.1u
Firefighter Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
J.Merrill o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
0.77u
Billy Ward
114d ago
Last 30d: 15-24-1 (-3.7u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125
1.25u
Brian Bitler
114d ago
Last 30d: 90-78-2 (+25.3u)
TB -125
3u
BJ Cunningham
115d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
Over 7.5-105
1u
Tanner McGrath
115d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
Over 7.5-105
1u
Sean Zerillo
115d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 7.5-105
0.5u
Bet to -108
PRO Insights
Padres
SD Insights
- Featured InsightPadres have a strikeout rate of 26% this month -- fifth highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 28% this month -- third highest in MLB.
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Rays
TB Insights
- Featured InsightRays hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 47% against the Padres RPs over the last week -- third worst in MLB.
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Padres vs. Rays Previews & Analysis
Padres vs. Rays Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Padres Injury Updates
Rays Injuries
- Shane McClanahanP
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Padres Injuries
Padres vs. Rays Box Score
Padres Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LM.Perez, P | 101 | 5 | 4 | 4 | |
RS.Reynolds, P | 47 | 1.2 | 5 | 0 | |
RJ.Estrada, P | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
LT.Scott, P | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
LA.Morejon, P | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Profar, LF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2D.Solano, 3B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3J.Cronenworth, 1B | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
4M.Machado, DH | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5X.Bogaerts, 2B | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
6J.Merrill, CF | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7D.Peralta, RF | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
7B.Johnson, PH | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Johnson, RF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8L.Campusano, C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
9M.McCoy, SS | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RT.Bradley, P | 71 | 2.1 | 2 | 8 | |
RE.Ramirez, P | 57 | 2.2 | 4 | 2 | |
LR.Lovelady, P | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
RM.Rodriguez, P | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LG.Cleavinger, P | 29 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1Y.Diaz, 1B | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
1J.Aranda, PR | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
1J.Aranda, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
2J.Caminero, 3B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3D.Carlson, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Lowe, RF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Caballero, 2B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6C.Morel, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7J.DeLuca, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8T.Walls, SS | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
9A.Jackson, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Rays Odds Comparison
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Padres at Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |
Rays 0-0 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |