Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024
Phillies at Braves
11:08 pm • FOXStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
S.Schwellenbach | 3.35 | 8-7 | ||
C.Sanchez | 3.32 | 11-9 |
Phillies at Braves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | -1.5+170 | o7.5-112 | +100 | |
Braves 0-2 | +1.5-202 | u7.5-108 | -122 |
Thursday 11:08 p.m.
August 22, 2024Truist ParkAtlanta
Phillies vs. Braves Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
122d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
S.Schwellenbach o6.5 Ks+100
1u
Picks Office
122d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Under 8-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Cristopher Sanchez is on the bump for the Phillies, making his 25th start of the season with a solid 9-8 record and a 3.46 ERA. His 1.25 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 6.9 K/9 is a sign that he's maintained control over the last 140 1/3 innings. He was dominant in his very last outing, going the complete game while giving up 1 earned run on 2 hits with no walks and 4 strikeouts in a 5-1 victory over the Nationals.
The Braves will counter Schwellenbach with Spencer, who is 4-6 on the year with a 4.04 earned run average in his 14th start. He has a good WHIP at 1.07 with a 1.2 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 over 75 2/3 innings pitched. He has made one start against the Phillies in his career: six innings, a little run in six frames, and 6-0 in K/BB.
The conditions also lend well to the pitchers with a center field wind blowing in that can help further stifle offense. The under trend has been prevalent for the Braves of late—7 in the last ten of their games— and the first two games of this series played below the total with just 5 and 4 total runs. Adding in to that is the fact that hitters from both teams are becoming extremely familiar with one another and with the game headed to Atlanta—the Braves hold the 2nd best -rated bullpen to maintain a low-scoring environment.
Given the strong pitching performances, favorable weather conditions, and recent trends, a low-scoring game is a likely outcome in this matchup.
Prop Bet Guy
122d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Duvall u0.5 Hits+143
1u
Duvall comes into this game 1 for his last 29 with 17 Ks. Only in there to hit against a lefty, but he has 10 hits in 51 PAs vs lefties against Sanchez’ three main pitches (changeup, sinker, slider). He won’t stay in to face a righty (.146 vs righties - Kelenic would come in).
Yes, Sanchez struggles on the road. But even giving Duvall a home bump, I project value on this one down to +120.
Shady Biev
122d ago
Last 30d: 185-208-7 (+14.8u)
PHI -105
2.1u
Firefighter Bets
122d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+106
1u
Tanner McGrath
122d ago
Last 30d: 126-96-6 (+14.1u)
Under 8-120
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
122d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
Under 8-113
0.88u
windy unders
Overall: 710-477-46,60% (ROI:15%)
Season:22-26-1,46% (ROI:-11%)
💰🦡 Jake
122d ago
Last 30d: 76-90-1 (-26.8u)
ATL -115
1u
Markus Markets
122d ago
Last 30d: 65-81-1 (+8.4u)
C.Sanchez u17.5 Outs+123
0.5u
BetRivers
C.Sanchez u18.5 Outs-165
0.61u
Fanatics
BJ Cunningham
123d ago
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-6.5u)
PHI -104
1.04u
JB Bets
123d ago
Last 30d: 35-13-0 (+16.6u)
S.Schwellenbach u17.5 Outs+110
1u
Sean Zerillo
123d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 8+105
0.53u
Flat to -105
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Braves have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third worst in MLB.
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Braves
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightBraves have a strikeout rate of 32% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Phillies left-handed hitters have struck out 31% against RHP over the last week -- third highest in MLB.
TRY FOR FREE
Phillies vs. Braves Previews & Analysis
Phillies vs. Braves Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Chris SaleP
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
- Austin RileyIF
Riley is out with hand
Out
- Spencer StriderP
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Phillies Injuries
- Max KeplerOF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Phillies vs. Braves Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LC.Sanchez, P | 95 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
LT.Banks, P | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RJ.Ruiz, P | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1K.Schwarber, DH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2T.Turner, SS | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3B.Harper, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4N.Castellanos, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5B.Stott, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Realmuto, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7B.Marsh, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8W.Wilson, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Rojas, CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Stevenson, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Stevenson, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RS.Schwellenbach, P | 94 | 6.2 | 9 | 2 | |
RP.Johnson, P | 24 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
RR.Iglesias, P | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Harris, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Merrifield, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3M.Ozuna, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Olson, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5R.Laureano, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6A.Duvall, LF | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6J.Kelenic, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Kelenic, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7O.Arcia, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8S.Murphy, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Urshela, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Phillies vs. Braves Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Braves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |
Braves 0-2 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |