Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 7, 2024

Phillies at Braves

5:35 pm • BSSE

Philadelphia Phillies

78-57

0 - 6

Atlanta Braves

61-74

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
M.Mercado			11.08	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 78-57	+1.5-154	o8-113	+136
Braves 61-74	-1.5+129	u8-108	-162

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 07, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

PHI +145

M.Mercado o4.5 Ks+100

T.Turner o1.5 Total Bases-110

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases+100

PHI +142

Over 8.5-103

1.55u

PHI +142

1.5u

PHI +150

Under 8.5-114

0.5u

Bet to -115

PHI +142

ATL -1.5+120

1.2u

PHI +154

PHI +160

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +140

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 61% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Phillies vs Braves: Fade the Favorite
Sean Paul•
Jul 7, 2024 UTC
Sunday's Early PRO Edge: Phillies-Braves
Action AI•
Jul 7, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 61-41 (.598) after a loss since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Braves are 120-8 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Nick Castellanos has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Pierce Johnson has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .865 since the 2022 season -- 12th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .796 (574 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh worst among qualified RPs-- fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .067 (4-for-60) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .252 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 29-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Braves' 66 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	56-78	27-39	29-39	37-54	18-24
Phillies	67-68	33-33	34-35	53-57	14-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	61-65-8	27-36-3	34-29-5	40-47-4	20-18-4
Phillies	56-70-9	33-30-3	23-40-6	47-54-9	9-16

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	61-74	33-33	27-41	47-44	12-30
Phillies	78-57	44-22	34-35	68-42	10-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	PHI	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	ATL -125
Jul 5th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -142
Jul 4th	SF	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -130
Jul 3rd	SF	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -209
Jul 2nd	SF	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	SF -198

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mercado, P	57	1.2	1	5
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1.1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	9	1	1	0
RT.Phillips, P	53	4	7	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4B.Marsh, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6K.Clemens, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7W.Merrifield, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Pache, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RR.Lopez, P	91	6	6
LD.Lee, P	19	1	1
RP.Johnson, P	14	1	2
LA.Bummer, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	1-3	1	1	3
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	3-4	1	1	1
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9E.White, LF	2-4	2	1	1