Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2024

Pirates at Cardinals

6:15 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

3 - 4

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	-1.5+138	o8.5-113	-121
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-163	u8.5-106	+100

Thursday 6:15 p.m.

June 13, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

M.Keller u5.5 Ks-113

L.Lynn o4.5 Ks-167

0.6u

L.Lynn o5.5 Ks+125

Under 8.5-110

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-108

1.08u

PIT -110

1.1u

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -112

L.Lynn u16.5 Outs-120

Lynn under this line in 10/13 starts. 4.01 pitches per PA (24th highest / 126), 61.4 strike % (10th lowest). Should bode well for the pirates who have the 9th lowest chase rate and the fifth most pitches per PA. Likely will have 5 lefties in the lineup - Lynn has really struggled vs lefties the last few seasons (.776 OPS allowed this year). Also bad the third time through (.982 OPS), and the Cards pen is in great shape after 7 IP from their starters the L2 games.

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Featured Insight
Cardinals have a strikeout rate of 24% over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 2-16 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Paul Goldschmidt has an OPS of just .503 with RISP this season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of just .513 (86 PAs) with RISP this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (679/1,157) this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 46% -- 100th Percentile.

7 of Mitch Keller's 25 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season -- tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 12th	PIT	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -180
Jun 11th	PIT	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	PIT +124
Jun 9th	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -173
Jun 8th	COL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	COL -214
Jun 8th	COL	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	STL -185

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	94	6	4	4
LJ.Bruihl, P	10	1	1	0
RH.Stratton, P	7	0.1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	9	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	1-5	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-5	0	1
3O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	2
4E.Olivares, RF	1-4	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0
6J.Triolo, 2B	0-2	0	0
7J.Suwinski, LF	0-3	1	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	82	4.1	5	3
LJ.King, P	18	1.1	1	0
RC.Roycroft, P	11	0.2	0	0
LM.Liberatore, P	11	0.2	0	0
RR.Fernandez, P	18	1	3	0
RA.Kittredge, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	2-4	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Arenado, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Donovan, LF	1-3	1	1	1
6B.Donovan, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
7J.Fermin, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
7D.Carlson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-3	0	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0	0