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Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2025

Red Sox at Nationals

3:05 pm • NESN
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Boston Red Sox

43-45
@

Washington Nationals

37-50
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Michael Soroka logoM.SorokaWashington Nationals logo4.703-5
Lucas Giolito logoL.GiolitoBoston Red Sox logo3.994-1

Red Sox at Nationals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
43-45
-1.5
-1.5+144
o8.5-115
-115
Nationals
37-50
u8.5
+1.5-172
u8.5-105
-105
location pinFriday 3:05 p.m.
July 04, 2025
Nationals ParkWashington
thermometer image80°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image4Wind
Red Sox vs. Nationals Expert Picks
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 67-56-1 (+40.3u)
WSH -102
3u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 162-147-4 (+12.0u)
Over 8.5-104
0.52u
Bet to -118
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 166-131-4 (+9.2u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-118
1.18u
Sunrise Slow Starts F5 Overall: 25-14-4,64% (ROI:21%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-2%)
BOS -115
1.15u
Fresh Legs, Fat W’s Overall: 281-195-0,59% (ROI:13%) Season:6-6-0,50% (ROI:2%)
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 36-32-2 (+6.2u)
BOS -1.5+146
1u

Red Sox vs. Nationals Previews & Analysis

  • Red Sox vs. Nationals: An Independence Day Matinee article feature image

    Red Sox vs. Nationals: An Independence Day Matinee

    Mike Ianniello•
    Jul 4, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

Home Logo

Nationals

67%

Bets%

33%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Nationals are 26-18 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Nationals' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Nationals' 43 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nationals		45-4219-2426-182-1243-30
Red Sox		44-4422-2322-2125-2919-13

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nationals		43-42-221-2222-20-25-938-33-2
Red Sox		41-46-119-25-122-2124-29-117-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nationals		37-5018-2519-254-1033-40
Red Sox		43-4525-2018-2528-2615-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 3rdDETW 11-7+1.5 WO 10WSH +116
Jul 2ndDETW 9-4+1.5 WO 8WSH -110
Jul 2ndDETL 2-11+1.5 LO 9DET +130
Jun 29th@LAAW 7-4+1.5 WO 10WSH +110
Jun 29th@LAAL 2-8-1.5 LO 9LAA +100

Nationals vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Nationals Injuries

  • Keibert Ruiz
    C

    Ruiz is out with head

    Out

  • Josiah Gray
    P

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • Cade Cavalli
    P

    Cavalli is out with elbow

    Out

  • DJ Herz
    P

    Herz is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Tanner Houck
    P

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Patrick Sandoval
    P

    Sandoval is out with elbow

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    P

    Crawford is out with knee

    Out

  • Masataka Yoshida
    OF

    Yoshida is out with shoulder

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Red Sox vs. Nationals Starting Lineups
Red Sox Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Lucas Giolito logoRL.Giolito, P4-13.991.3297.82
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, LF.253.312.4096
Roman Anthony logo2R.Anthony, DH.200.309.3291
Abraham Toro logo3A.Toro, 3B.291.335.4595
Carlos Narvaez logo4C.Narvaez, C.277.354.4467
Wilyer Abreu logo5W.Abreu, RF.261.329.50617
Trevor Story logo6T.Story, SS.244.286.38912
Marcelo Mayer logo7M.Mayer, 3B.213.260.4274
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B.174.215.2783
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, CF.254.300.4249
Nationals Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Michael Soroka logoRM.Soroka, P3-54.701.0289.71
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
CJ Abrams logo1C.Abrams, SS.286.356.48812
James Wood logo2J.Wood, LF.294.395.56323
Luis Garcia logo3L.Garcia, 2B.272.311.4177
Nathaniel Lowe logo4N.Lowe, 1B.230.297.39713
Josh Bell logo5J.Bell, DH.203.291.36311
Brady House logo6B.House, 3B.230.262.2790
Daylen Lile logo7D.Lile, RF.235.290.3411
Drew Millas logo8D.Millas, C.143.250.2860
Jacob Young logo9J.Young, CF.244.316.2970

Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Nationals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
43-45
N/A
N/A
Nationals
37-50
N/A
N/A