Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2026

Red Sox at Tigers

10:10 pm • DSN

Boston Red Sox

14-21

5 - 4

Detroit Tigers

18-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Holton			4.91	0-1
P.Tolle			2.04	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 14-21	+1.5	-1.5+140	o8-118	-125
Tigers 18-18	u6.5	+1.5-160	u8-102	+105

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 04, 2026

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -1.5 (Live)+102

R.Anthony o0.5 HR+850

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.15 home runs for Roman Anthony. Oddsmakers are implying 0.12 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 13% of the time resulting in a 27% ROI with expected value of $26.64 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +725. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

W.Abreu o0.5 HR+600

0.25u

There may be some value on Wilyer Abreu's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.23 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.16. The model believes there is a 20% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +600. This play is good down to at least +448. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle o4.5 Ks-125

0.8u

Under 7-118

1.18u

T.Skubal o7.5 Ks+115

0.87u

BOS +190

1.9u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 7-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Tigers' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	19-17	12-4	7-13	13-11	6-5
Red Sox	11-24	4-12	7-12	8-16	3-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	17-17-2	7-7-2	10-10	10-12-2	6-5
Red Sox	17-17-1	4-11-1	13-6	11-12-1	6-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	18-18	12-4	6-14	14-10	4-7
Red Sox	14-21	6-10	8-11	11-13	3-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	TEX	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	DET -120
May 2nd	TEX	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	DET -135
May 1st	TEX	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8	TEX -120
Apr 30th	@ATL	W 5-2	-	U 8.5	DET +105
Apr 29th	@ATL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL -141

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
SP
Melton is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Tolle, P	83	7	8	0
RG.Whitlock, P	26	1	2	2
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, DH	3-5	1	1	3
1J.Duran, LF	3-5	1	1	3
2W.Contreras, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Anthony, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4T.Story, SS	1-5	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	1
6C.Rafaela, CF	2-5	0	0	0
7M.Mayer, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
8C.Narvaez, C	0-3	1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Durbin, 3B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Holton, P	22	1	1	0
RT.Madden, P	81	5	7	0
RR.Vanasco, P	25	0.2	0	4
LE.De Jesus, P	32	1.1	2	1
RK.Jansen, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Jones, DH	0-2	1	0
1K.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0
1K.Carpenter, DH	0-1	0	0
2M.Vierling, CF	0-3	1	1
3D.Dingler, C	1-4	0	2
4R.Greene, LF	1-4	0	0
5S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0
6W.Perez, RF	0-4	0	0
7H.Lee, 2B	0-4	0	0
8C.Keith, 3B	1-2	2	0
9Z.Short, SS	0-3	0	0