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Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2025

Red Sox at Yankees

10:08 pm • ESPN

Boston Red Sox

1-1
3
3 - 1

New York Yankees

1-1
1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Max Fried logoM.FriedNew York Yankees logo0.000-0
Garrett Crochet logoG.CrochetBoston Red Sox logo0.000-0

Red Sox at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
1-1
+1.5
+1.5-194
o6.5-124
+118
Yankees
1-1
u7
-1.5+160
u6.5+102
-138
location pinTuesday 10:08 p.m.
September 30, 2025
Yankee StadiumBronx
Red Sox vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 54-51-4 (+7.4u)
BOS +120
1.2u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 124-106-2 (+21.8u)
G.Crochet u7.5 Ks+101
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 57-70-3 (-12.4u)
NYY -134
1.34u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 113-114-8 (-5.3u)
Under 6.5+105
0.5u
Missed out on u7 so I’ll bite on u6.5 at plus odds.
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 34-38-1 (-2.4u)
BOS +135
0.34u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 54-51-4 (+7.4u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-117
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 42-39-2 (-0.6u)
Under 6.5+100
2u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 100-124-6 (+28.3u)
BOS u2.5+122
1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 172-150-1 (+17.1u)
NYY -1.5+170
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 3-7-0 (-5.5u)
BOS +0.5 (F5)-130
1.3u
From John Stetson: The Yankees have been the significantly better offense v. southpaws over the past few weeks, but this is simply a spot where I'll trust Crochet to outpitch Fried early in this game. Fried has pitched against this Red Sox offense 3 times already this season and while the overall results look solid (1.96 ERA, 3.30 FIP) he's posted an elevated 1.42 WHIP and in their most recent meeting on September 13th he allowed 11 baserunners (2 runs) over just 5.1 innings of work. On the other side, Crochet had some issues in his first start against NY this season but has been dominant since. Over his L3 starts against the Yankees he's posted a 2.11 ERA, 1.54 xFIP, 37.0% K rate, and a miniscule 0.80 WHIP. He comes into this matchup fresh off an 8 inning shutout performance in a massive game on the road in Toronto and I expect him to carry that over here in the first postseason start of his career.
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 95-93-3 (-4.5u)
NYY -134
1.34u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 11-14-0 (-2.6u)
Under 7-105
1u
+63U in MLB L2 Seasons👀 Happy Postseason
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 95-93-3 (-4.5u)
Under 7-110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 75-105-3 (-11.6u)
Under 7-110
1u
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Last 30d: 66-78-6 (+8.5u)
Under 7-105
0.95u
@Zerillo https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
P.Goldschmidt To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+525
0.25u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
P.Goldschmidt To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+140
1.4u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
J.Duran To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+175
1u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 152-176-7 (-13.9u)
Under 7+100
1u
Bet to -115

Red Sox vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

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    2 Data-Driven HR Picks (23-1 Parlay)

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    Sep 30, 2025 UTC
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    Today's MLB Best Bets

    Action Network Staff•
    Sep 30, 2025 UTC
  • Red Sox vs Yankees: Back the Visitors in Series Opener article feature image

    Red Sox vs Yankees: Back the Visitors in Series Opener

    Nick Martin•
    Sep 30, 2025 UTC
  • Yankees vs Red Sox: +190 SGP for Tuesday article feature image

    Yankees vs Red Sox: +190 SGP for Tuesday

    Dead President Picks•
    Sep 30, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

Home Logo

Yankees

35%

Bets%

65%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees		80-8235-4645-3662-7218-9
Red Sox		75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees		87-69-645-33-342-36-376-54-411-14-2
Red Sox		79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees		8-644-3750-3176-5818-9
Red Sox		89-7338-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 28thBALW 3-2-1.5 LU 8.5NYY -182
Sep 27thBALW 6-1-1.5 WU 9NYY -235
Sep 26thBALW 8-4-1.5 WO 8.5NYY -144
Sep 25thCWSW 5-3-1.5 WU 8.5NYY -310
Sep 24thCWSW 8-1-1.5 WO 8NYY -390

Red Sox vs. Yankees Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Jose De Leon
    RP

    De Leon is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Patrick Sandoval
    SP

    Sandoval is out with elbow

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with knee

    Out

  • Jovani Moran
    RP

    Moran is out with arm

    Out

Yankees Injuries

  • Gerrit Cole
    SP

    Cole is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Red Sox vs. Yankees Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Garrett Crochet logoLG.Crochet, P1177.2111
Albertin Chapman logoLA.Chapman, P241.120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Robert Refsnyder logo1R.Refsnyder, DH0-2000
Masataka Yoshida logo1M.Yoshida, PH1-2002
Masataka Yoshida logo1M.Yoshida, DH1-2002
Trevor Story logo2T.Story, SS2-5100
Alexander Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B2-4001
Roman Gonzalez logo4R.Gonzalez, 1B0-3000
David Lowe logo4N.Lowe, PH0-2000
David Lowe logo4N.Lowe, 1B0-2000
Carlos Narvaez logo5C.Narvaez, C0-1000
Nathan Eaton logo6N.Eaton, RF1-3000
Wilyer Abreu logo6W.Abreu, PH0-1000
Wilyer Abreu logo6W.Abreu, RF0-1000
Jarren Duran logo7J.Duran, LF0-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo8C.Rafaela, CF0-3100
Nicholas Sogard logo9N.Sogard, 2B2-4100
Yankees Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Max Fried logoLM.Fried, P1026.160
Luke Weaver logoRL.Weaver, P15002
Fernando Cruz logoRF.Cruz, P140.210
Devin Williams logoRD.Williams, P11100
David Bednar logoRD.Bednar, P150.211
Timothy Hill logoLT.Hill, P40.100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Paul Goldschmidt logo1P.Goldschmidt, 1B2-4000
Aaron Judge logo2A.Judge, RF2-4000
Cody Bellinger logo3C.Bellinger, LF1-4000
Giancarlo Stanton logo4G.Stanton, DH0-4000
German Rosario logo5A.Rosario, 2B0-3000
Jasrado Chisholm logo5J.Chisholm, 2B0-1000
Trenton Grisham logo6T.Grisham, CF0-4000
Anthony Volpe logo7A.Volpe, SS2-3111
Austin Wells logo8A.Wells, C0-3000
Jose Caballero logo9J.Caballero, 3B0-3000

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Yankees Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
1-1
o2.5-155
u2.5+120
Yankees
1-1
o3.5+102
u3.5-125