Reds vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Reds at Rays

8:10 pm • BSSUN

Cincinnati Reds

11-12

0 - 4

Tampa Bay Rays

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Littell			3.63	8-10
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 11-12	+1.5-196	o8-112	+110
Rays 9-13	-1.5+162	u8-108	-130

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

CIN +112

TB -124 (F5)

0.81u

C.Mead o0.5 HR+870

0.25u

CIN +110

Reds the hotter team with the superior starting pitcher going.

CIN +108

$50.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

CIN +110

TB -115

BP4

Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.8 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (49 games). The Rays have scored just 3.7 runs per game at home this season -- third lowest in MLB (54 games).

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Featured Insight
The Rays scored in at least three different innings in 60% of their games last season -- third highest in MLB. Reds allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 59% of their games last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday
Action Network Staff•
Jul 27, 2024 UTC

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The Rays are 20-19 (.513) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Rays are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Reds are just 22-23 (.489) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Amed Rosario has an OPS of just .710 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .573 (703 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Taylor Walls has an OPS of just .578 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 637 total PA's-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .573 (703 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 23 of 180 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (48/214) against Andrew Abbott's curve and slider since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 0 Percentile.

Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .709 (151 Total Bases / 213 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .533 -- first Percentile.

12 of Zack Littell's 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (38%) have been backdoor this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 0-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Rays' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	8-14	8-11	0-3	6-9	2-4
Reds	13-10	7-5	6-5	4-3	9-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	9-11-2	8-9-2	1-2	7-6-2	2-4
Reds	12-10-1	5-6-1	7-4	2-4-1	9-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	9-13	9-10	0-3	8-7	1-5
Reds	11-12	6-6	5-6	4-3	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	CIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN -111
Jul 25th	@TOR	W 13-0	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -105
Jul 24th	@TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -121
Jul 23rd	@TOR	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TB +110
Jul 22nd	@NYY	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 9	NYY +142

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	88	4	2	4
RT.Santillan, P	23	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	31	2	1	0
RY.Zulueta, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Candelario, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Littell, P	96	7	5
RK.Kelly, P	15	1	0
LC.Poche, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-4	1	1	1
2A.Rosario, RF	2-3	1	0	0
2T.Walls, SS	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Lowe, 2B	2-3	0	0	1
4I.Paredes, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Mead, 3B	2-2	1	0	0
5R.Palacios, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Palacios, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	1
9A.Jackson, C	1-3	1	1	1