Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2024

Royals at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Kansas City Royals

0-0

4 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

8-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 0-0	+1.5-192	o7.5-110	+107
Blue Jays 8-4	-1.5+160	u7.5-110	-127

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

April 30, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+525

0.1u

KC +116

0.58u

KC +120

0.6u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

KC +114

1.14u

Under 7.5-105

V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases+140

0.5u

Bet365 4:51.

KC +105 (F5)

1.05u

Under 4 (F5)-120

KC -0.5 (F5)+113

1.13u

KC +120

1.8u

Ragans good > Berrios awful

C.Ragans u5.5 Ks-115

0.58u

B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.87u

Ballpark pal gives Witt a strong advantage and +ev bet with devig odds of -132 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
Royals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP this season -- third lowest in MLB. Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays have struck out just 20% since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 10-54 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Blue Jays are just 10-65 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Blue Jays are 38-69 (.355) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Maikel Garcia is slugging just .294 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

MJ Melendez is batting just .160 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 140 total CB-- 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of just .338 (54 PA's) vs left-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 -- 100th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (52 Total Bases / 219 ABs) on the road since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .428 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .370 (17-for-46) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 -- fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (190/538) this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25
Royals	82-80	38-43	44-37	32-38	49-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4
Royals	71-90-1	31-50	40-40-1	30-40	41-47-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32
Royals	82-80	43-38	39-42	40-30	40-49

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	KC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -170
Apr 28th	LAD	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -112
Apr 27th	LAD	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD +124
Apr 26th	LAD	L 2-12	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +103
Apr 25th	@KC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -116

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	105	6.2	9	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	16	1.1	1	0
RJ.McArthur, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-3	1	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4S.Perez, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
6F.Fermin, C	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	92	7	3	2
RE.Swanson, P	14	0.2	0	2
LG.Cabrera, P	5	0.1	0	0
RZ.Pop, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, CF	0-4	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	0	0
3B.Bichette, SS	1-3	0	1
4J.Turner, DH	0-4	0	0
5D.Schneider, LF	1-4	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-4	0	0
7E.Clement, 3B	0-2	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	1-2	1	0
9C.Biggio, RF	0-3	0	0