Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2025

#Mao

🔑 A.Judge to hit a home run +165 (DraftKings) 1u Used BetAlytics home run tool to justify this play. Their model projects a 5 ⭐️ grade with a 33.1% expected win probability. He is “due” in his standards for a homer. He has 13 career HRs vs KC in 38 career games. Wacha has gotten the better of him when they face each other but I like this spot Join 👉🔗 https://www.betalytics.com/ CODE: LOCKSELOT for 25% off BetAlytics

3.53% ev

NYY team line (betting half a unit but tracking.01 to not juice the record of KC scores but not the yanks)

Royals bullpen gas can—4.38 ERA last 3. Wacha (R) shaky: 4.20 ERA, just 5.1 IP/start. NYY’s 10-4 to the Over, avg 6.98 runs in wins. KC only 3.32 RPG, but has pop. Yanks lineup deep—Judge, Goldy, Bellinger. Yanks rake vs righties—.247 AVG, .335 OBP, 6.72 R/9. Royals’ relievers below avg—1.58 WHIP last 3. KC hitters under 5% Weak%: good contact all through lineup. NYY pen solid but Fried likely exits after 5–KC could feast late. Royals' bats better than their AVG shows. KC hit Over in 4 of last 6. NYY 6-2 Over at home. Both teams combined 17 Overs YTD. Yankees hot at the plate—9+ runs in 3 of last 5. KC bullpen taxed, Fried due for regression.

Yankees can be an inconsistent offense so it’s hard to trust sometimes but I like them to be able to put up some runs on Wacha. But mainly I love Fried here. He has a 1.56 ERA on the year and the Royals have really struggled to score runs consistently so far. They only put up one against Carrasco yesterday and Fried is a far superior pitcher so expect Fried to be dominant

Bet to +170