Yankees vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 25, 2024

Yankees at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

New York Yankees

39-25

7 - 9

New York Mets

42-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3
G.Cole			3.41	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 39-25	-1.5+114	o8.5-107	-142
Mets 42-24	+1.5-135	u8.5-112	+120

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYY -144

1.44u

NYY -1.5+114

0.5u

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-120

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

G.Cole u5.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Cole has maxed out at 68 pitches thus far between his rehab stint and his return. Hard to project him for much more than 80 pitches. Also didn't get a ton of whiffs in his return despite a decent number of strikeouts. Facing a low-strikeout Mets team on the road. I've got Cole projected for 4.9 strikeouts.

NYM +130

3.9u

Over 8.5-112

0.89u

Over 8.5-112

0.89u

Featured Insight
The Yankees have scored in at least three different innings in 59% of their games this season -- highest in MLB. Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 54% of their games this season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 6.2 runs per game over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB (12 games). The Yankees have allowed 5.4 runs per game over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (13 games).

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The Yankees are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .671 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .581 (837 PAs) since last season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

36% of Juan Soto strikeouts are looking since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 35% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (108-for-555) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 18-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mets' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	36-30	18-13	18-17	24-24	12-6
Yankees	31-33	18-15	13-18	28-29	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	24-41-1	11-19-1	13-22	21-26-1	3-15
Yankees	28-34-2	14-19	14-15-2	25-31-1	3-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	42-24	24-7	18-17	33-15	9-9
Yankees	39-25	21-12	18-13	37-20	2-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 23rd	@CHC	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -105
Jun 22nd	@CHC	L 1-8	-1.5 L	U 11	CHC -127
Jun 21st	@CHC	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 8	NYM +130
Jun 20th	@TEX	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -115
Jun 19th	@TEX	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -125

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
P
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	72	4	0	6
RP.Bickford, P	29	1.1	1	2
RM.Tonkin, P	7	0.2	0	0
LT.Hill, P	15	1	1	0
RT.Kahnle, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	2	1	1
3A.Judge, CF	2-3	1	1	5
4G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Davis, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Rice, PH	1-2	1	0	0
6B.Rice, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
7D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Jones, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Grisham, PH	0-0	1	0	0
8T.Grisham, DH	0-0	1	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Wells, PH	1-1	1	0	1
9A.Wells, C	1-1	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	103	4.1	8	1
RD.Nunez, P	28	2.2	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	13	0.1	0	2
LD.Young, P	11	0.1	1	2
RR.Garrett, P	14	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	2	1	3
3J.Martinez, DH	1-5	0	0	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
5F.Alvarez, C	1-2	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0	1
7M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	2	2	2
7J.Iglesias, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	2-4	2	1	1