Nets vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - January 3, 2025

Sneaky spot for Taurean to see extended minutes tonight. AJ Green is OUT and was a key piece in the rotation. Without him per CourtIQ, Taurean averages 12.7 PRA Per-24 MIN with the starters healthy. The Bucks are also 12.5 point spread favorites and are playing at home where Taurean averages 12.4 PRA, clearing his PRA line in 6 of 8 home games when playing between 22-26 minutes. And he matches up well vs. the Nets. They are bottom-10 at spot-up and transition which consist of 78% of his PTS and with Doc Rivers admitting he overplayed Khris Middleton last game, I wouldn’t be surprised if he sees fewer minutes if the game becomes non competitive, for Taurean to absorb some of his RA production. #PlayerProps

Ask Lillard who his favorite point guard matchup is and he’ll probably say DLO… Lillard has only hit 11 threes in a game 4 time in his career and 2 of those 4 times were vs DLO when he played in Minnesota and GS. He’s gone over 23.5 eleven matchups in a row vs DLO including a 60, 39, 38, 36 point performance averaging 34.7PPG across those 11 matchups. He scored 27+ in 10/11 matchups and tonight its DAME TIME

Damian Lillard ⬆️ 3.5 Rebounds (-145 @ MGM) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 4.29 Rebs Recent Form: Lillard has been a consistent contributor on the boards, clearing 3.5 rebounds in 8 of his last 10 games and an impressive 15 of his last 17 games. Rebounding Opportunities: Over the last 10 games, Lillard is averaging 7 rebound chances per game, a solid number for a guard, indicating steady involvement in rebounding situations. Matchup Context: The Brooklyn Nets rank 15th in effective field goal percentage (eFG%), suggesting they’re an average shooting team and likely to produce a moderate number of missed shots, providing rebound opportunities for Lillard. Head-to-Head History: Lillard has faced the Nets twice this season and recorded 4 and 6 rebounds, both clearing this line comfortably. Value Analysis: The current odds provide +EV (expected value) as some sportsbooks have this line heavily juiced at -160 or worse. Getting a favorable number here makes this a great value play.

Sandy