Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2024

Nuggets at Timberwolves

12:00 am • TNT

Denver Nuggets

3-4

115

115 - 107

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3

107

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 3-4	+2.5	+4-110	o205-111	+142
Timberwolves 4-3	u204.5	-4-110	u205-110	-170

Monday 12:00 a.m.

May 13, 2024

Target CenterMinneapolis

M.Conley o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-135

0.74u

MIN -130 (1H)

Tie is a loss

DEN +3.5-110

0.45u

Bet365 7:02.

A.Edwards o28.5 Pts-107

0.93u

A.Edwards o28.5 Pts-115

0.87u

MIN -147

1.47u

DEN +2.5-105

0.95u

K.Towns o26.5 Pts+Rebs-120

1.2u

A.Edwards o28.5 Pts-105

A.Edwards o3.5 TOs-109

Ant talked about not bringing enough energy to the table over the last two games and how that was on him to rectify in Game 4. Well over the last two games he’s recorded 4 and 5 turnovers despite actually seeing a slight dip in his Usage. Much of this was due to scheme. One of the bigger adjustments in Game 3 was that Jokic played higher up and spent more defensive possessions at the level of the screener as opposed to in a drop. This put some additional pressure on Ant as the head of this Timberwolves’ offensive attack. It took away some of Ant’s ability to drive while it opens up more PnR opportunities with Ant as a facilitator. While he is capable, this still can lead to an increase in turnovers and if he tries to force it and create off the bounce, there’s even more turnover potential. Ant has exceeded this in 4/7 Playoff games this season and I expect him to do so again today, even if he is able to have a strong game as a scorer.

A.Gordon o5.5 Rebs+110

1.1u

N.Jokic o49.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

$59.00

DEN +3-110

$50.00

A.Gordon o16.5 Pts+Rebs-112

Over 204.5-108

0.93u

A.Gordon o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

Over 204.5-110

1.5u

M.Porter Double-Double (Yes)+850

0.2u

Taking a swing. Last 2 games saw big minute fluctuations for MPJ due to blowouts. Decent odds too as DD odds at FD are +450 and +700 at DK.

DEN +126

1.26u

(2-2) series going back to Denver

DEN +3.5-115

0.87u

MIN -2.5-112

J.Murray u5.5 Ast-102

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -122 giving value to this number

Under 204.5-105

MIN -2.5-110

1.1u

M.Conley o10.5 Pts-111

1.08u

Featured Insight
The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds/game this season -- 9th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds/game this season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Timberwolves are 22-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	40-40-2	18-22-1	22-18-1	29-31-2	11-9
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Timberwolves	41-40-1	18-22-1	23-18	29-32-1	12-8
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	9-7	N/A	N/A	47-15	9-11
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	DEN	L 90-117	-3.5 L	O 205.5	DEN -158
May 7th	@DEN	W 106-80	+7 W	U 209.5	MIN +235
May 4th	@DEN	W 106-99	+4.5 W	U 209.5	MIN +153
Apr 29th	@PHX	W 122-116	+1 W	O 213	MIN -105
Apr 27th	@PHX	W 126-109	+5.5 W	O 208.5	MIN +200