Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - January 5, 2024

Nuggets at Warriors

3:00 am • TNT

Denver Nuggets

15-11

130

130 - 127

Golden State Warriors

15-12

127

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 15-11	-2.5	-4-110	o234.5-110	-170
Warriors 15-12	u234.5	+4-110	u234.5-110	+142

Friday 3:00 a.m.

January 05, 2024

Chase CenterSan Francisco

J.Kuminga o11.5 Pts (Live)+203

1.02u

GSW +145

DEN -1.5 (1H)-118

1.06u

69 With Dale 31 Days until the NASCAR Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum. 14-13. My friend Guy said this bet is a lock. So I'm tailing with confidence. For the second night in a row. It is that simple. We're going 56-13

Over 234.5-110

0.91u

Under 234.5-105

Under 236-110

DEN -3.5-115

DEN -135 (1Q)

0.37u

T.Jackson-Davis u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

$50.00

Over this number in 3/L5 games. But, he draws a very tough matchup vs Denver who rank top 6 in pts, reb, & ast allowed to opponents. Faced DEN 2 weeks ago and went under with 12 PRAs.

DEN -145

0.69u

J.Murray o22.5 Pts-124

$50.00

Over this # in 4/L6 games. Over in 3 straight games vs Warriors (avg 29 ppg).

GSW +3-110

Anticipating a GSW lengthy home win streak

J.Murray o21.5 Pts-115

0.87u

Best Bets: We have a Christmas Day rematch between the Warriors and the Nuggets tonight on this short NBA Slate. One player that has thrived in this matchup is Jamal Murray. Murray has averaged 29 points per game against the Warriors over the last two seasons and he has sliced and diced their defense. He’s able to find good looks from 3 when he wants to but is also able to drive and work the pick and roll with Nikola Jokic to perfection. While the Warriors are managing without Draymond Green, their defense has taken a significant hit over the last two weeks allowing 118.4 points per 100 possessions. In most matchups they could be fine, without Draymond helping on the pick and roll it opens up more opportunities for Murray. I’ll take him to go over 21.5 points.

Featured Insight
The Nuggets are 14-2 (.875) when they win the turnover margin this season -- best in the NBA; the Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game this season -- 7th-highest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Warriors have allowed 12.9 second chance points per game this season -- T-5th-best in the NBA; the Nuggets have averaged 13.2 second chance points per game this season -- 9th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 9-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Warriors' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	15-11-1	6-5-1	9-6	7-7	8-4-1
Nuggets	10-15-1	4-6-1	6-9	4-13-1	6-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	12-15	6-6	6-9	7-7	5-8
Nuggets	17-8-1	7-4	10-4-1	11-6-1	6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	15-12	N/A	N/A	9-5	6-7
Nuggets	15-11	N/A	N/A	10-8	5-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 3rd	ORL	W 121-115	-3.5 W	O 229.5	GSW -167
Dec 31st	DAL	L 122-132	-4 L	O 243	DAL -175
Dec 29th	MIA	L 102-114	-6.5 L	U 232	MIA -265
Dec 25th	@DEN	L 114-120	+7.5 W	U 235.5	DEN +250
Dec 24th	POR	W 126-106	-8 W	O 231.5	GSW -350